SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC St. Pauli win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC St. Pauli was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–26–37
3. 1′KICK-OFF SV Darmstadt 98 v FC St. Pauli
4. 8′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Arkadiusz Pyrka · FC St. Pauli
5. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Abdoulie Ceesay · FC St. Pauli
6. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Raoul Petretta · SV Darmstadt 98
7. 35′9 shots for FC St. Pauli, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 33–34–33
8. 42′THE CALL SWINGS · 42' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was SV Darmstadt 98 win 34%)
9. 45′HALF-TIME SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC St. Pauli · On: Martijn Kaars · Off: Abdoulie Ceesay
11. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC St. Pauli · On: Adam Dźwigała · Off: Arkadiusz Pyrka
12. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC St. Pauli · On: Samuel Klein · Off: Mathias Rasmussen
13. 45′SECOND HALF SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli
14. 55′We expected about 2.9 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 28–44–28
15. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Kai Klefisch · SV Darmstadt 98
16. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' FC St. Pauli win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
17. 62′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 0–0 · 25–50–25
18. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Lee Ho-Jae · Off: Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher
19. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Nicolas Verkooijen · Off: Marco Richter
20. 64′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–52–24
21. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Adam Dźwigała · FC St. Pauli
22. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' FC St. Pauli · On: Taichi Hara · Off: Youssoupha Niang
23. 70′FC St. Pauli have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 21–58–21
24. 73′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–63–19
25. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' FC St. Pauli win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
26. 79′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–73–14
27. 82′FC St. Pauli have had 16 attempts to 9 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 11–79–11
28. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Eric Smith · FC St. Pauli
29. 84′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 8%. 0–0 · 8–83–8
30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' FC St. Pauli · On: Branimir Hrgota · Off: Connor Metcalfe
31. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Lance Duijvestijn · Off: Milan Smit
32. 86′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 86' FC St. Pauli win: 37% at kick-off, 7% now
33. 90′We said FC St. Pauli at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–91–4
34. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' William Mikelbrencis · SV Darmstadt 98
35. 94′Full time, 0–0. We called FC St. Pauli at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
36. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+4' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Christopher Lannert · Off: William Mikelbrencis
37. FTFULL TIME SV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli
38. FTSV Darmstadt 98 0–0 FC St. Pauli · FC St. Pauli win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.