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SV Darmstadt 98 v Energie Cottbus
2. Bundesliga · SAT 10 OCT · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said SV Darmstadt 98 win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: SV Darmstadt 98 was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–22–30
- 1′KICK-OFF SV Darmstadt 98 v Energie Cottbus
- 3′A goal for Energie Cottbus on 4′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 26–21–52
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Energie Cottbus
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 26% now
- 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Energie Cottbus win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was SV Darmstadt 98 win 26%)
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 4' SV Darmstadt 98 0–1 Energie Cottbus
- 4′We said SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 26%. 0–1 · 26–21–53
- 12′We said SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–22–54
- 31′We said SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
- 34′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 18–24–58
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 Energie Cottbus · Justin Butler
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 42% now
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' SV Darmstadt 98 win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Energie Cottbus win 28%)
- 37′⚽ GOAL · 36' SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 Energie Cottbus · Noah Weisshaupt
- 38′36′ and it is 1–1: Noah Weisshaupt on the scoresheet for SV Darmstadt 98. 1–1 · 41–31–28
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Christian Kinsombi · Energie Cottbus
- 45′SECOND HALF SV Darmstadt 98 1–1 Energie Cottbus
- 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Christian Kinsombi · Energie Cottbus
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 54′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Energie Cottbus · On: fousseny doumbia · Off: Axel Borgmann
- 57′We said SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 1–1 · 35–41–25
- 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was SV Darmstadt 98 win 35%)
- 60′We said SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–43–24
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Patric Pfeiffer · SV Darmstadt 98
- 63′🟨 YELLOW · 63' Justin Butler · Energie Cottbus
- 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Lance Duijvestijn · Off: Lee Ho-Jae
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Lance Duijvestijn · Off: Lee Ho-Jae
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Energie Cottbus · On: Dominik Pelivan · Off: Leonardo Bittencourt
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Energie Cottbus · On: Dmytro Bogdanov · Off: Moritz Hannemann
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Fynn-Luca Lakenmacher · Off: Marco Richter
- 74′SUBSTITUTION · 75' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Yannik Luhrs · Off: William Mikelbrencis
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Energie Cottbus · Noah Weisshaupt
- 77′SV Darmstadt 98 ahead on 77′ through Aleksandar Vukotić. 2–1. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' SV Darmstadt 98 2–1 Energie Cottbus · Aleksandar Vukotić
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 85% now
- 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' SV Darmstadt 98 win is now our likeliest result at 85% (was Draw 13%)
- 79′We published SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. Our model now makes it 87%. 2–1 · 87–12–1
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 87% now
- 79′🟨 YELLOW · 79' Noah Weisshaupt · SV Darmstadt 98
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Tolcay Cigerci · Energie Cottbus
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Energie Cottbus · On: Jannis Boziaris · Off: Lukas Michelbrink
- 84′We published SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. Our model now makes it 92%. 2–1 · 92–8–0
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Lance Duijvestijn · SV Darmstadt 98
- 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus · Aleksandar Vukotić
- 88′Yannik Luhrs scores for SV Darmstadt 98 on 88′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus · Yannik Luhrs
- 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 100% now
- 90′We published SV Darmstadt 98 at 47%. Our model now makes it 100%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 92′SUBSTITUTION · 92' SV Darmstadt 98 · On: Yosuke Furukawa · Off: Noah Weisshaupt
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 93' SV Darmstadt 98 win: 47% at kick-off, 100% now
- FTFULL TIME SV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus
- FTSV Darmstadt 98 3–1 Energie Cottbus · SV Darmstadt 98 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
SAT 10 OCT · 12:00
Venue · Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
Referee · Justin Joel Hasmann
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
SV Darmstadt 98
4-4-2
1 M. Schuhen
25 W. Mikelbrencis
6 P. Pfeiffer
20 A. Vukotic
18 R. Petretta
5 M. Richter
17 K. Klefisch
10 N. Verkooijen
7 N. Weisshaupt
9 Lee Ho-Jae
36 M. Smit
Coach · Florian Kohfeldt
Substitutes
30 · A. Brunst
49 · Y. Luhrs
3 · F. Kleinhansl
22 · L. Kehl
41 · L. Duijvestijn
16 · H. Akiyama
19 · F. Lakenmacher
11 · I. El Kadiri
44 · Y. Furukawa
Energie Cottbus
4-2-3-1
1 M. Lotka
3 H. Rorig
2 K. Manu
21 L. Erlein
20 A. Borgmann
32 L. Bittencourt
8 L. Michelbrink
11 M. Hannemann
10 T. Cigerci
7 C. Kinsombi
31 J. Butler
Coach · Claus-Dieter Wollitz
Substitutes
29 · K. Kratzsch
23 · F. Doumbia
16 · R. Malone
4 · T. Campulka
6 · J. Hofmann
5 · D. Pelivan
19 · J. Boziaris
9 · L. Copado
13 · D. Bogdanov
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
SV Darmstadt 98
4-4-2
1 M. Schuhen
25 W. Mikelbrencis
6 P. Pfeiffer
20 A. Vukotic
18 R. Petretta
5 M. Richter
17 K. Klefisch
10 N. Verkooijen
7 N. Weisshaupt
9 Lee Ho-Jae
36 M. Smit
Coach · Florian Kohfeldt
Substitutes
30 · A. Brunst
49 · Y. Luhrs
3 · F. Kleinhansl
22 · L. Kehl
41 · L. Duijvestijn
16 · H. Akiyama
19 · F. Lakenmacher
11 · I. El Kadiri
44 · Y. Furukawa
Energie Cottbus
4-2-3-1
1 M. Lotka
3 H. Rorig
2 K. Manu
21 L. Erlein
20 A. Borgmann
32 L. Bittencourt
8 L. Michelbrink
11 M. Hannemann
10 T. Cigerci
7 C. Kinsombi
31 J. Butler
Coach · Claus-Dieter Wollitz
Substitutes
29 · K. Kratzsch
23 · F. Doumbia
16 · R. Malone
4 · T. Campulka
6 · J. Hofmann
5 · D. Pelivan
19 · J. Boziaris
9 · L. Copado
13 · D. Bogdanov
We make SV Darmstadt 98 a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.5.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 44% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| SV Darmstadt 98 win | 47% | 44% | +3 |
| Draw | 23% | 24% | −1 |
| Energie Cottbus win | 30% | 32% | −2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 67% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 85% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 44% | 49% | −5 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 or draw | 70% | 68% | +2 |
| SV Darmstadt 98 clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Energie Cottbus clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
0 meetings since 2021No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.
Form · last six in 2. Bundesliga
SV DARMSTADT 98
ENERGIE COTTBUS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 6 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 6 | +10 | 16 |
| 3 | 1. FC Heidenheim | 7 | +2 | 14 |
| 4 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 7 | +2 | 12 |
| 5 | VfL Wolfsburg | 6 | +7 | 11 |
| 6 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Energie Cottbus | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 7 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 | FC St. Pauli | 6 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | VfL Bochum | 6 | −1 | 7 |
| 11 | Hannover 96 | 6 | −2 | 7 |
| 12 | VfL Osnabrück | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 6 | −2 | 6 |
| 14 | Arminia Bielefeld | 6 | −2 | 5 |
| 15 | Karlsruher SC | 6 | −6 | 5 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | −4 | 4 |
| 17 | Dynamo Dresden | 6 | −6 | 4 |
| 18 | SV Darmstadt 98 | 6 | −8 | 4 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.
Hertha BSC
1. FC Nürnberg
1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Kaiserslautern
VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Magdeburg
Eintracht Braunschweig
FC St. Pauli
VfL Bochum
Hannover 96
VfL Osnabrück
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Arminia Bielefeld
Karlsruher SC
Holstein Kiel
Dynamo Dresden