Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig prediction · 2. Bundesliga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Arminia BielefeldDrawEintracht Braunschweig

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Arminia Bielefeld 53%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Arminia Bielefeld are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Arminia Bielefeld 53%, draw 24%, Eintracht Braunschweig 23%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht BraunschweigBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Arminia Bielefeld win53%

Draw24%

Eintracht Braunschweig win23%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 17:30

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Arminia Bielefeld

Eintracht Braunschweig

6Days since last match13

Last match: 24 Oct · 2. Bundesliga

Last match: 17 Oct · 2. Bundesliga

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Arminia Bielefeld	9	−1	11
17	Eintracht Braunschweig	8	−2	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · arminia bielefeld winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

53% The market51%

Us53%

~~Market~~51%

We make Arminia Bielefeld a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 51%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.9–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Arminia Bielefeld v Eintracht Braunschweig~~1.86 – 1.16

~~Form · last six in 2. Bundesliga this season · since 28 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 11 v 7~~8 v 17

~~The market · Arminia Bielefeld win~~51% · ours 53%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Arminia Bielefeld win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 51% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Arminia Bielefeld win	53%	51%	+2
Draw	24%	25%	−1
Eintracht Braunschweig win	23%	25%	−2
Over 2.5 goals	58%	59%	−1
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	78%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	36%	38%	−2
Arminia Bielefeld or draw	77%	75%	+2
Arminia Bielefeld clean sheet	31%	–	–
Eintracht Braunschweig clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 1 bookmaker, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.6 5.2 3.3 1 8.5 11.0 6.1 2.4 2 8.4 9.6 5.6 2.2 3 5.2 6.0 3.5 4 2.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Arminia Bielefeld down, Eintracht Braunschweig across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,614 2. Bundesliga matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 2. Bundesliga matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 74 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Arminia Bielefeld at home: 2.67 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Eintracht Braunschweig away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for Arminia Bielefeld, 1.16 for Eintracht Braunschweig. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~4 of 4

~~Last meetings~~ARM 3–2 EIN · EIN 1–1 ARM · EIN 3–3 ARM · ARM 4–1 EIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in 2. Bundesliga this season · since 28 Aug

ARMINIA BIELEFELD

DLDWWL2–2 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 0–1

EINTRACHT BRAUNSCHWEIG

LLDLWL3–5 · 1–3 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Hertha BSC	9	+12	25
2	1. FC Nürnberg	8	+10	18
3	VfL Wolfsburg	9	+9	16
4	1. FC Magdeburg	9	+8	16
5	1. FC Kaiserslautern	8	+4	15
6	1. FC Heidenheim	9	0	15
7	FC St. Pauli	9	+2	12
8	Arminia Bielefeld	9	−1	11
9	Energie Cottbus	9	−1	10
10	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	8	−1	9
11	Dynamo Dresden	8	−4	8
12	VfL Osnabrück	8	−4	8
13	VfL Bochum	9	−4	8
14	Hannover 96	8	−5	8
15	Karlsruher SC	9	−9	8
16	SV Darmstadt 98	9	−10	8
17	Eintracht Braunschweig	8	−2	7
18	Holstein Kiel	8	−4	5