Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Liga 3 › Margveti 2006 v Iberia 2010

Back
Georgia flag

Margveti 2006 v Iberia 2010

Margveti 2006
1–0Full time
Iberia 2010

Liga 3 · FRI 23 OCT

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 15:01
Margveti 2006 1–0 Iberia 2010 MARGVETI 2006 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Margveti 2006 win58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.258

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Margveti 2006 win at 58%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Margveti 2006 was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–21
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Margveti 2006 v Iberia 2010
  4. 41′7 shots for Margveti 2006, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 48–31–21
  5. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Margveti 2006 win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Margveti 2006 0–0 Iberia 2010
  7. 46′We said Margveti 2006 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–33–20
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Margveti 2006 0–0 Iberia 2010
  9. 47′Margveti 2006 have had 8 attempts to 3 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 46–34–20
  10. 51′We said Margveti 2006 at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–36–20
  11. 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–39–19
  12. 56′We published Margveti 2006 at 58%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  13. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Margveti 2006 1–0 Iberia 2010
  14. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Margveti 2006 win: 58% at kick-off, 81% now
  15. 57′Margveti 2006 score on 56′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 81–15–4
  16. 70′We published Margveti 2006 at 58%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  17. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Margveti 2006 win: 58% at kick-off, 88% now
  18. 80′We published Margveti 2006 at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–0 · 90–9–1
  19. 87′We published Margveti 2006 at 58%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  20. 93′A red card for Margveti 2006 on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–0 · 98–2–0
  21. 93′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' vano chargeishvili · Margveti 2006
  22. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Margveti 2006 win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
  23. FTFULL TIME Margveti 2006 1–0 Iberia 2010
  24. FTMargveti 2006 1–0 Iberia 2010 · Margveti 2006 win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Margveti 2006 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Margveti 2006 58%, draw 21%, Iberia 2010 21%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Margveti 2006 v Iberia 2010Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Margveti 2006 win58%
Draw21%
Iberia 2010 win21%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Margveti 2006

Iberia 2010

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
11Margveti 200624−931
16Iberia 201024−3614

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · margveti 2006 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
58% The market–
Us58%

We make Margveti 2006 a 58% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Margveti 2006 v Iberia 20102.21 – 1.21
Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 26 AugW3 D1 L2 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 31 v 1411 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Margveti 2006 win58%––
Draw21%––
Iberia 2010 win21%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals44%––
Margveti 2006 or draw79%––
Margveti 2006 clean sheet31%––
Iberia 2010 clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.1%
0123450 4.3 3.9 2.6 1 7.1 9.1 5.2 2.2 2 7.9 9.0 5.4 2.3 3 5.7 6.5 3.9 4 3.2 3.7 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Margveti 2006 down, Iberia 2010 across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsIBE 2–3 MAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 26 Aug

MARGVETI 2006

WLWWLD3–0 · 0–2 · 5–0 · 3–0 · 0–4 · 2–2

IBERIA 2010

LWWDLW1–2 · 3–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 3–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Guria24+5655
2Varketili24+4353
3FC Iberia 1999 II24+1843
4Merani Tbilisi24+1143
5Gonio24+941
6WIT Georgia24+1038
7Irao24+1035
8Didube 201424+435
9Dinamo Tbilisi II24+335
10Lokomotivi Tbilisi25+334
11Margveti 200624−931
12Kolkheti Khobi24−1525
13Iveria Khashuri25−1420
14Gardabani25−4216
15Betlemi25−5116
16Iberia 201024−3614

The competition's standings before kick-off.