Lokomotivi Tbilisi v Merani Tbilisi

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Lokomotivi Tbilisi win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Lokomotivi Tbilisi 53% before kick-off, 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF Lokomotivi Tbilisi v Merani Tbilisi
4. 35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Lokomotivi Tbilisi
5. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
6. 45′HALF-TIME Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0–0 Merani Tbilisi
7. 46′Lokomotivi Tbilisi find the net on 46′. 1–0. 1–0 · 79–16–5
8. 46′SECOND HALF Lokomotivi Tbilisi 0–0 Merani Tbilisi
9. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–0 Merani Tbilisi
10. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 46' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 79% now
11. 47′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–38–21 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
12. 47′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 1–0 · 79–16–5
13. 48′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
14. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
15. 66′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–53–16
16. 66′⚽ GOAL · 66' Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–1 Merani Tbilisi
17. 66′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 66' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 30% now
18. 66′THE CALL SWINGS · 66' Draw is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Lokomotivi Tbilisi win 30%)
19. 67′A goal for Merani Tbilisi on 65′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–54–16
20. 68′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–16
21. 68′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 1–1 · 29–56–16
22. 73′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–13
23. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
24. 78′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
25. 82′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–79–8
26. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
27. 86′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
28. 92′We said Lokomotivi Tbilisi at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
29. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
30. 94′3 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–2–98
31. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+4' Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–2 Merani Tbilisi
32. 94′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+4' Merani Tbilisi win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
33. 95′Merani Tbilisi score on 90′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 0–2–98
34. FTFULL TIME Lokomotivi Tbilisi 1–2 Merani Tbilisi
35. FTLokomotivi Tbilisi 1–2 Merani Tbilisi · Lokomotivi Tbilisi win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.