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Home › Football › Liga 3 › Kolkheti Khobi v Guria

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Kolkheti Khobi v Guria

Kolkheti Khobi
2–2Full time
Guria

Liga 3 · FRI 23 OCT · Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni

Full timeGraded 23 Oct 15:01
Kolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria GURIA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Guria win71%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.227

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guria win at 71%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Kolkheti Khobi v Guria
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Guria 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 13–16–71
  4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Guria
  5. 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Guria
  6. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
  7. 42′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 14–27–59
  8. 45′HALF-TIME Kolkheti Khobi 0–0 Guria
  9. 46′SECOND HALF Kolkheti Khobi 0–0 Guria
  10. 49′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 3–11–86
  11. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Kolkheti Khobi 0–1 Guria
  12. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
  13. 52′A goal for Guria on 49′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–11–86
  14. 67′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–2 · 0–1–98
  15. 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Kolkheti Khobi 0–2 Guria
  16. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 98% now
  17. 69′Guria score on 67′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
  18. 80′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  19. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kolkheti Khobi 1–2 Guria
  20. 92′Shakro beria scores for Kolkheti Khobi on 90′. 2–2 · 2–92–6
  21. 92′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 2–92–6
  22. 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Kolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria
  23. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 6% now
  24. 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Guria win 98%)
  25. 93′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–94–4
  26. 95′A goal for Kolkheti Khobi on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 1–96–3
  27. 95′Guria have had 21 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 1–96–3
  28. FTFULL TIME Kolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria
  29. FTKolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria · Guria win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Guria are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kolkheti Khobi 13%, draw 16%, Guria 71%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Kolkheti Khobi v GuriaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Kolkheti Khobi win13%
Draw16%
Guria win71%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 25

VenuePaata Tatarishvili Stadioni

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kolkheti Khobi

Guria

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Guria24+5655
12Kolkheti Khobi24−1525

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · guria winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 19 Oct 03:57 · locked at kick-off
71% The market–
Us71%

We make Guria a 71% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.8, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kolkheti Khobi v Guria0.97 – 2.78
Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 27 AugW1 D2 L3 · W5 D1 L0
Table places · points 25 v 5512 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75% 17 OCT 00:0123 OCT 11:39
Our probability · Guria win

Published at 72%, 71% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kolkheti Khobi win13%––
Draw16%––
Guria win71%––
Over 2.5 goals70%––
Both teams to score55%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Kolkheti Khobi or draw29%––
Kolkheti Khobi clean sheet8%––
Guria clean sheet40%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.7%
0123450 3.4 6.7 8.7 7.7 5.5 3.41 2.6 7.1 8.1 6.8 4.6 2.72 3.6 4.1 3.3 2.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kolkheti Khobi down, Guria across0–5 goals a side shown (91.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2024
Goals a meeting5.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsGUR 5–0 KOL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 27 Aug

KOLKHETI KHOBI

LDLLWD0–1 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–2

GURIA

WWWWWD5–0 · 2–0 · 5–0 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Guria24+5655
2Varketili24+4353
3FC Iberia 1999 II24+1843
4Merani Tbilisi24+1143
5Gonio24+941
6WIT Georgia24+1038
7Irao24+1035
8Didube 201424+435
9Dinamo Tbilisi II24+335
10Lokomotivi Tbilisi25+334
11Margveti 200624−931
12Kolkheti Khobi24−1525
13Iveria Khashuri25−1420
14Gardabani25−4216
15Betlemi25−5116
16Iberia 201024−3614

The competition's standings before kick-off.