

Kolkheti Khobi v Guria
Kolkheti Khobi
GuriaLiga 3 · FRI 23 OCT · Paata Tatarishvili Stadioni
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Guria win at 71%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Kolkheti Khobi v Guria
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Guria 71% before kick-off, 71% now. 0–0 · 13–16–71
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Guria
- 29′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Guria
- 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 61% now
- 42′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 14–27–59
- 45′HALF-TIME Kolkheti Khobi 0–0 Guria
- 46′SECOND HALF Kolkheti Khobi 0–0 Guria
- 49′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 0–1 · 3–11–86
- 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' Kolkheti Khobi 0–1 Guria
- 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 49' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 86% now
- 52′A goal for Guria on 49′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–11–86
- 67′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 0–2 · 0–1–98
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Kolkheti Khobi 0–2 Guria
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 67' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 98% now
- 69′Guria score on 67′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–1–99
- 80′We said Guria at 71% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
- 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Kolkheti Khobi 1–2 Guria
- 92′Shakro beria scores for Kolkheti Khobi on 90′. 2–2 · 2–92–6
- 92′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 2–2 · 2–92–6
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Kolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria
- 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Guria win: 71% at kick-off, 6% now
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Draw is now our likeliest result at 92% (was Guria win 98%)
- 93′We said Guria at 71%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 2–94–4
- 95′A goal for Kolkheti Khobi on 90′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 1–96–3
- 95′Guria have had 21 attempts to 8 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 1–96–3
- FTFULL TIME Kolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria
- FTKolkheti Khobi 2–2 Guria · Guria win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Guria are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Kolkheti Khobi 13%, draw 16%, Guria 71%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Kolkheti Khobi win13%
Guria win71%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 25
VenuePaata Tatarishvili Stadioni
Match timeline
All events
Kolkheti KhobiMIN
GuriaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kolkheti Khobi
Guria
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)
Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Guria a 71% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.8, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 72%, 71% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kolkheti Khobi win | 13% | – | – |
| Draw | 16% | – | – |
| Guria win | 71% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 55% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | – | – |
| Kolkheti Khobi or draw | 29% | – | – |
| Kolkheti Khobi clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
| Guria clean sheet | 40% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 27 Aug
KOLKHETI KHOBI
GURIA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guria | 24 | +56 | 55 |
| 2 | Varketili | 24 | +43 | 53 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 II | 24 | +18 | 43 |
| 4 | Merani Tbilisi | 24 | +11 | 43 |
| 5 | Gonio | 24 | +9 | 41 |
| 6 | WIT Georgia | 24 | +10 | 38 |
| 7 | Irao | 24 | +10 | 35 |
| 8 | Didube 2014 | 24 | +4 | 35 |
| 9 | Dinamo Tbilisi II | 24 | +3 | 35 |
| 10 | Lokomotivi Tbilisi | 25 | +3 | 34 |
| 11 | Margveti 2006 | 24 | −9 | 31 |
| 12 | Kolkheti Khobi | 24 | −15 | 25 |
| 13 | Iveria Khashuri | 25 | −14 | 20 |
| 14 | Gardabani | 25 | −42 | 16 |
| 15 | Betlemi | 25 | −51 | 16 |
| 16 | Iberia 2010 | 24 | −36 | 14 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Varketili
FC Iberia 1999 II
Merani Tbilisi
Gonio
WIT Georgia
Irao
Didube 2014
Dinamo Tbilisi II
Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Margveti 2006
Iveria Khashuri
Gardabani
Betlemi
Iberia 2010