Iberia 2010 v Kolkheti Khobi prediction · Liga 3

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Iberia 2010DrawKolkheti Khobi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Iberia 2010 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Iberia 2010 just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Iberia 2010 40%, draw 23%, Kolkheti Khobi 37%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Iberia 2010 v Kolkheti KhobiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Iberia 2010 win40%

Draw23%

Kolkheti Khobi win37%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 26

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Iberia 2010

Kolkheti Khobi

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Kolkheti Khobi	25	−15	26
16	Iberia 2010	25	−37	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · iberia 2010 winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Iberia 2010 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Iberia 2010 v Kolkheti Khobi~~1.71 – 1.62

~~Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 3 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 26~~16 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Iberia 2010 win	40%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Kolkheti Khobi win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	42%	–	–
Iberia 2010 or draw	63%	–	–
Iberia 2010 clean sheet	21%	–	–
Kolkheti Khobi clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.1%

0123450 4.6 5.7 4.8 2.6 1 6.0 10.1 7.6 4.2 2 5.3 8.0 6.3 3.4 3 3.0 4.6 3.6 4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Iberia 2010 down, Kolkheti Khobi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 677 Liga 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.3% of games this season, across 197 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2026 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Iberia 2010 at home: 1.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 6). Kolkheti Khobi away: 1.00 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Iberia 2010, 1.62 for Kolkheti Khobi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KOL 5–2 IBE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 3 Sept

IBERIA 2010

WWDLWL3–2 · 1–0 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 0–1

KOLKHETI KHOBI

DLLWDD1–1 · 1–4 · 1–2 · 3–1 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Guria	25	+56	56
2	Varketili	24	+43	53
3	FC Iberia 1999 II	25	+22	46
4	Gonio	25	+10	44
5	Merani Tbilisi	25	+7	43
6	WIT Georgia	24	+10	38
7	Irao	25	+10	36
8	Dinamo Tbilisi II	25	+3	36
9	Didube 2014	25	+3	35
10	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	25	+3	34
11	Margveti 2006	25	−8	34
12	Kolkheti Khobi	25	−15	26
13	Iveria Khashuri	25	−14	20
14	Gardabani	25	−42	16
15	Betlemi	25	−51	16
16	Iberia 2010	25	−37	14