FC Iberia 1999 II v Betlemi prediction · Liga 3

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC Iberia 1999 IIDrawBetlemi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC Iberia 1999 II 89%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Iberia 1999 II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Iberia 1999 II 89%, draw 8%, Betlemi 4%. Over 2.5 goals 81%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on FC Iberia 1999 II v BetlemiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

FC Iberia 1999 II win89%

Draw8%

Betlemi win4%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 26

VenueStadioni Bendela

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Iberia 1999 II

Betlemi

7Days since last match14

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga 3 (Georgia)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	FC Iberia 1999 II	25	+22	46
15	Betlemi	25	−51	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc iberia 1999 ii winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

89% The market–

Us89%

We make FC Iberia 1999 II an 89% chance to win. The model expects 4.1–0.6, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Iberia 1999 II v Betlemi~~4.13 – 0.64

~~Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 27 Aug~~W2 D4 L0 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 46 v 16~~3 v 15

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Iberia 1999 II win	89%	–	–
Draw	8%	–	–
Betlemi win	4%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	81%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	93%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	65%	–	–
FC Iberia 1999 II or draw	96%	–	–
FC Iberia 1999 II clean sheet	54%	–	–
Betlemi clean sheet	3%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 9.3%

0123450 1 4.8 3.5 2 8.1 5.4 3 9.3 6.0 2.1 4 8.5 5.2 5 6.8 3.9

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Iberia 1999 II down, Betlemi across0–5 goals a side shown (75.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 677 Liga 3 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga 3 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.3% of games this season, across 197 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Iberia 1999 II at home: 3.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Betlemi away: 0.67 scored, 4.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

4.13 goals for FC Iberia 1999 II, 0.64 for Betlemi. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~1 of 4

~~Last meetings~~BET 0–1 FCI · FCI 5–0 BET · FCI 2–1 BET · BET 0–3 FCI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga 3 this season · since 27 Aug

FC IBERIA 1999 II

DDWDDW1–1 · 1–1 · 3–0 · 3–3 · 4–4 · 4–0

BETLEMI

LLLWWL0–5 · 1–2 · 0–5 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 0–8

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Guria	25	+56	56
2	Varketili	24	+43	53
3	FC Iberia 1999 II	25	+22	46
4	Gonio	25	+10	44
5	Merani Tbilisi	25	+7	43
6	WIT Georgia	24	+10	38
7	Irao	25	+10	36
8	Dinamo Tbilisi II	25	+3	36
9	Didube 2014	25	+3	35
10	Lokomotivi Tbilisi	25	+3	34
11	Margveti 2006	25	−8	34
12	Kolkheti Khobi	25	−15	26
13	Iveria Khashuri	25	−14	20
14	Gardabani	25	−42	16
15	Betlemi	25	−51	16
16	Iberia 2010	25	−37	14