Home › Football › Erovnuli Liga › Meshakhte v FC Iberia 1999

Meshakhte v FC Iberia 1999

Meshakhte

1–2Full time

FC Iberia 1999

Erovnuli Liga · SAT 10 OCT · Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:10

Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999 FC IBERIA 1999 WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Iberia 1999 win~~54%

~~The market said~~59%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.326

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.251

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC Iberia 1999 win at 54%.
1′KICK-OFF Meshakhte v FC Iberia 1999
2′Much as we predicted: FC Iberia 1999 was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 20–25–54
11′🟨 YELLOW · 11' FC Iberia 1999
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Meshakhte 0–1 FC Iberia 1999
19′⚽ GOAL · 18' Meshakhte 0–1 FC Iberia 1999 · Phillip Cancar
22′🟨 YELLOW · 19' Ivan Zotko · Meshakhte
23′Phillip Cancar scores for FC Iberia 1999 on 18′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Meshakhte 0–2 FC Iberia 1999 · Phillip Cancar
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' FC Iberia 1999 win: 54% at kick-off, 95% now
29′⚽ GOAL · 23' Meshakhte 0–2 FC Iberia 1999 · nika sikharulashvili
34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999 · nika sikharulashvili
37′⚽ GOAL · 33' Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999 · Tsotne·Patsatsia (assist Mate Kvirkvia)
43′Meshakhte ahead on 33′ through Tsotne·Patsatsia. 1–2. 1–2 · 4–15–81
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' FC Iberia 1999 win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
45′We published FC Iberia 1999 at 54%. Our model now makes it 82%. 1–2 · 4–15–82
45′HALF-TIME Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999
46′SECOND HALF Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999
53′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Meshakhte · On: Lasha Ugrekhelidze · Off: Ivan Zotko Corrected
53′🟨 YELLOW · 49' Phillip Cancar · FC Iberia 1999
62′We published FC Iberia 1999 at 54%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–2 · 2–13–85
63′SUBSTITUTION · 55' FC Iberia 1999 · On: Giorgi Beridze · Off: stephen jighjigh ende Corrected
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 63' FC Iberia 1999 win: 54% at kick-off, 85% now
64′🟨 YELLOW · 62' pimentel eric · Meshakhte
78′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Meshakhte · On: Giorgi Gogolashvili · Off: tarik sikalo Corrected
78′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Meshakhte · On: saba chkhetiani · Off: Giorgi burduli Corrected
78′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Erekle jijavadze · Meshakhte
83′We published FC Iberia 1999 at 54%. Our model now makes it 94%. 1–2 · 0–6–94
83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' FC Iberia 1999 win: 54% at kick-off, 94% now
86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Iberia 1999 · On: marc jean tiboue · Off: Lucas Oliveira Brune Corrected
86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Iberia 1999 · On: Eldar kuliiev · Off: nika sikharulashvili Corrected
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Meshakhte · On: Giorgi Kantaria · Off: Tsotne·Patsatsia Corrected
86′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Meshakhte · On: maksym pyrohov · Off: Mate Kvirkvia Corrected
FTFULL TIME Meshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999
FTMeshakhte 1–2 FC Iberia 1999 · FC Iberia 1999 win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Meshakhte win19%

Draw27%

FC Iberia 1999 win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:30

Venue · Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Meshakhte

4-4-2

29 L. Shovnadze

23 B. Shubitidze

31 Eric Pimentel

38 I. Zotko

13 G. Burduli

26 B. Gabiskiria

20 L. Kurdadze

7 E. Jijavadze

11 M. Kvirkvia

18 T. Patsatsia

22 T. Sikalo

Coach · Vladimer Burduli

Substitutes

1 · L. Tkeshelashvili

8 · G. Jamarauli

10 · G. Gogolashvili

16 · G. Gegia

24 · S. Chkhetiani

25 · R. Novruzov

27 · G. Kantaria

30 · M. Pyrogov

40 · L. Ugrekhelidze

FC Iberia 1999

4-3-3

31 G. Makaridze

25 A. Amisulashvili

3 P. Cancar

4 V. Selimovic

5 J. Jinjolava

6 N. Dadiani

19 N. Sikharulashvili

8 B. Kardava

17 S. Ende

9 A. Dzagania

18 Lucas Cafe

Coach · Andriy Demchenko

Substitutes

1 · T. Megrelishvili

7 · D. Kvartskhava

23 · E. Kuliyev

26 · G. Beridze

27 · G. Kutsia

29 · L. Chikhradze

30 · N. Bochorishvili

33 · J. Tiboue

40 · G. Kobuladze

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Meshakhte

4-4-2

29 L. Shovnadze

23 B. Shubitidze

31 Eric Pimentel

38 I. Zotko

13 G. Burduli

26 B. Gabiskiria

20 L. Kurdadze

7 E. Jijavadze

11 M. Kvirkvia

18 T. Patsatsia

22 T. Sikalo

Coach · Vladimer Burduli

Substitutes

1 · L. Tkeshelashvili

8 · G. Jamarauli

10 · G. Gogolashvili

16 · G. Gegia

24 · S. Chkhetiani

25 · R. Novruzov

27 · G. Kantaria

30 · M. Pyrogov

40 · L. Ugrekhelidze

FC Iberia 1999

4-3-3

31 G. Makaridze

25 A. Amisulashvili

3 P. Cancar

4 V. Selimovic

5 J. Jinjolava

6 N. Dadiani

19 N. Sikharulashvili

8 B. Kardava

17 S. Ende

9 A. Dzagania

18 Lucas Cafe

Coach · Andriy Demchenko

Substitutes

1 · T. Megrelishvili

7 · D. Kvartskhava

23 · E. Kuliyev

26 · G. Beridze

27 · G. Kutsia

29 · L. Chikhradze

30 · N. Bochorishvili

33 · J. Tiboue

40 · G. Kobuladze

Our number · fc iberia 1999 winPublished 10 Oct 12:19

54% The market59%

Us54%

~~Market~~59%

We make FC Iberia 1999 a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · fc iberia 1999 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Meshakhte win	19%	17%	+2
Draw	27%	23%	+4
FC Iberia 1999 win	54%	59%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	45%	51%	−6
Both teams to score	47%	50%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	71%	73%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	24%	30%	−6
Meshakhte or draw	46%	41%	+6
Meshakhte clean sheet	21%	–	–
FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet	42%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 12.5%

0123450 9.8 12.5 10.7 5.8 2.4 1 6.4 12.5 9.1 4.9 2.0 2 3.2 5.0 4.0 2.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Meshakhte down, FC Iberia 1999 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,055 Erovnuli Liga matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Erovnuli Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.3% of games this season, across 135 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 4.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Meshakhte at home: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). FC Iberia 1999 away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.87 goals for Meshakhte, 1.61 for FC Iberia 1999. Most likely score 0–1.

Line-ups

Confirmed 10 Oct 12:12. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~FCI 2–1 MES · MES 1–4 FCI · FCI 2–2 MES

Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga

MESHAKHTE

LWDDLD0–1 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1

FC IBERIA 1999

WLWWWL2–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–2

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Tbilisi	27	+15	48
2	Dinamo Batumi	27	+10	47
3	Rustavi	27	+9	46
4	FC Iberia 1999	27	+8	46
5	Dila	27	+8	40
6	Torpedo Kutaisi	27	+9	36
7	Samgurali	27	−14	32
8	Gagra	27	−12	29
9	Spaeri	27	−9	25
10	Meshakhte	27	−24	17