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Meshakhte v Dila
Meshakhte
DilaErovnuli Liga · SAT 24 OCT · Stadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dila win at 53%.
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Dila 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 20–27–53
- 2′KICK-OFF Meshakhte v Dila
- 15′🟨 YELLOW · 15' Meshakhte
- 28′A goal for Dila on 26′. 0–0 · 20–33–47
- 31′Dila ahead on 27′ through Mohamed Kanté. 0–1. 0–1 · 5–15–80
- 31′We said Dila at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 5–15–80
- 31′The goal count is tracking the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 5–15–80
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 27' Meshakhte 0–1 Dila · Mohamed Kanté (assist Shota Shekiladze)
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Dila win: 53% at kick-off, 80% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Meshakhte 0–1 Dila
- 47′SECOND HALF Meshakhte 0–1 Dila
- 53′Meshakhte have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 3–15–82
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Meshakhte · On: reis rafael · Off: Giorgi Gegia
- 55′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Meshakhte · On: giorgi papuashvili · Off: pimentel eric
- 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Dila win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
- 57′Meshakhte have had 9 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 3–14–83
- 63′We said Dila at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Dila · On: Giorgi Jalaghonia · Off: Mouhamed Diouf
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Dila · On: Aviel Zargari · Off: Georgiy Kobakhidze
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Dila
- 67′We said Dila at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 14–58–28
- 67′⚽ GOAL · 67' Meshakhte 1–1 Dila
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' Dila win: 53% at kick-off, 28% now
- 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' Draw is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Dila win 85%)
- 70′12 shots for Meshakhte, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 13–62–25
- 71′We said Dila at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 13–63–24
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Dila win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 76′We said Dila at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 2%. 2–1 · 80–17–2
- 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Meshakhte 2–1 Dila
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Dila win: 53% at kick-off, 2% now
- 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Meshakhte win is now our likeliest result at 80% (was Draw 70%)
- 77′3 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 82–16–2
- 80′Meshakhte score on 75′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 85–14–1
- 80′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Dila
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Dila
- 85′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Meshakhte
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Dila · On: Kristaps Grabovskis · Off: lasha menteshashvili
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Dila · On: Zurab Museliani · Off: Nelson Mike Puketi
- 93′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Dila · On: Otar Parulava · Off: Blankson Anoff
- 93′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Meshakhte
- 96′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Meshakhte · On: maksym pyrohov · Off: beka gabiskiria
- 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Meshakhte
- FTFULL TIME Meshakhte 2–1 Dila
- FTMeshakhte 2–1 Dila · Dila win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Dila are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Meshakhte 20%, draw 27%, Dila 53%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Meshakhte win20%
Dila win53%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 30
VenueStadioni Vladimer Bochorishvili
Match timeline
All events
MeshakhteMIN
DilaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Meshakhte
5-4-1
Dila
3-4-1-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Meshakhte
Dila
Last match: 17 Oct · Erovnuli Liga
Last match: 19 Oct · Erovnuli Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Meshakhte
5-4-1
1 L. Tkeshelashvili
23 B. Shubitidze
20 L. Kurdadze
31 Eric Pimentel
38 I. Zotko
16 G. Gegia
26 B. Gabiskiria
27 G. Kantaria
7 E. Jijavadze
11 M. Kvirkvia
18 T. Patsatsia
Coach · –
Dila
3-4-1-2
1 D. Kereselidze
2 T. Kikabidze
13 João Araújo
5 Nelson Mike Puketi
16 M. Sanyang
17 B. Anoff
15 G. Kobakhidze
24 Mouhamed Diouf
8 L. Menteshashvili
9 K. Kefing
22 Shota Shekiladze
Coach · A. Vavalis
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Meshakhte
5-4-1
1 L. Tkeshelashvili
23 B. Shubitidze
20 L. Kurdadze
31 Eric Pimentel
38 I. Zotko
16 G. Gegia
26 B. Gabiskiria
27 G. Kantaria
7 E. Jijavadze
11 M. Kvirkvia
18 T. Patsatsia
Coach · –
Dila
3-4-1-2
1 D. Kereselidze
2 T. Kikabidze
13 João Araújo
5 Nelson Mike Puketi
16 M. Sanyang
17 B. Anoff
15 G. Kobakhidze
24 Mouhamed Diouf
8 L. Menteshashvili
9 K. Kefing
22 Shota Shekiladze
Coach · A. Vavalis
We make Dila a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–1.6.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 54%, 53% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Meshakhte win | 20% | 23% | −3 |
| Draw | 27% | 27% | 0 |
| Dila win | 53% | 50% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46% | 46% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 48% | 49% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 70% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Meshakhte or draw | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Meshakhte clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
| Dila clean sheet | 41% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
3 meetings since 2024Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga this season · since 5 Sept
MESHAKHTE
DILA
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 30 | +18 | 54 |
| 2 | Dinamo Batumi | 29 | +13 | 53 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 29 | +11 | 52 |
| 4 | Rustavi | 30 | +10 | 52 |
| 5 | Dila | 29 | +4 | 40 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 29 | −9 | 38 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 29 | +8 | 37 |
| 8 | Gagra | 30 | −17 | 30 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 30 | −11 | 27 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 29 | −27 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Tbilisi
Dinamo Batumi
FC Iberia 1999
Rustavi
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Spaeri