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Dinamo Tbilisi v Spaeri
Dinamo Tbilisi
SpaeriErovnuli Liga · SUN 18 OCT · Boris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Dinamo Tbilisi win at 59%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Dinamo Tbilisi 59% before kick-off, 59% now. 0–0 · 59–23–18
- 1′KICK-OFF Dinamo Tbilisi v Spaeri
- 20′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 81%. 1–0 · 81–13–6
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Spaeri
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 81% now
- 21′Dinamo Tbilisi find the net on 21′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–13–6
- 23′Dinamo Tbilisi find the net on 20′. 1–0. 1–0 · 81–13–6
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 1–0 · 81–14–5
- 43′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 47%. 1–1 · 47–34–19
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Spaeri
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 47% now
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 47% now
- 45′GOAL DISALLOWED · 45' Spaeri
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 82% now
- 45′SECOND HALF Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Spaeri
- 46′HALF-TIME Dinamo Tbilisi 1–0 Spaeri
- 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Spaeri · On: Zurab Golubiani · Off: Temuri tsalughelashvili
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dinamo Tbilisi · On: Mate Vatsadze · Off: Khalid doltmurziev
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dinamo Tbilisi · On: Lyes Houri · Off: Maxime teixeira
- 63′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 36–48–16
- 63′⚽ GOAL · 63' Dinamo Tbilisi 1–1 Spaeri
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 36% now
- 63′THE CALL SWINGS · 63' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Dinamo Tbilisi win 36%)
- 64′Dinamo Tbilisi have had 13 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 35–49–16
- 65′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–50–15
- 67′A goal for Spaeri on 64′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–53–15
- 68′18 shots for Dinamo Tbilisi, 8 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 32–54–14
- 69′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 86%. 2–1 · 86–12–2
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' Dinamo Tbilisi 2–1 Spaeri
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 86% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' Dinamo Tbilisi win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 12%)
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Dinamo Tbilisi · On: tornike kvaratskhelia · Off: Giorgi Kharaishvili
- 70′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Dinamo Tbilisi · On: Paris Psaltis · Off: santos leo
- 74′Dinamo Tbilisi score on 69′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 88–11–1
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 89% now
- 78′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 2–1 · 90–9–1
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Dinamo Tbilisi · On: Barnes Osei · Off: Jaba Kankava
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Spaeri · On: Nikoloz Chomakhidze · Off: bukhuti putkaradze
- 79′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' Dinamo Tbilisi 3–1 Spaeri
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' Dinamo Tbilisi win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
- 80′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–0–0
- 81′We said Dinamo Tbilisi at 59% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Spaeri · On: Billy Jibril · Off: Saba gegiadze
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Spaeri · On: Sienda Matenjva · Off: nika chagunava
- 85′Dinamo Tbilisi ahead on 80′ through Mate Vatsadze. 3–1. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Spaeri · On: d giorgi tsetskhladze · Off: Lasha Kokhreidze
- 93′3–1 at the end. Our 59% on Dinamo Tbilisi comes in. 3–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Dinamo Tbilisi 3–1 Spaeri
- FTDinamo Tbilisi 3–1 Spaeri · Dinamo Tbilisi win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Dinamo Tbilisi are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi 59%, draw 23%, Spaeri 18%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 55%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Dinamo Tbilisi win59%
Spaeri win18%Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00
RoundMatchday 29
VenueBoris Paichadze Dinamo Arena
Match timeline
All events
Dinamo TbilisiMIN
SpaeriEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-2-3-1
Spaeri
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Dinamo Tbilisi
Spaeri
Last match: 11 Oct · Erovnuli Liga
Last match: 10 Oct · Erovnuli Liga
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-2-3-1
20 Lucas Flores
6 Leonardo Santos
27 N. Kurdić
4 N. Ugrekhelidze
13 M. Pourzitídis
23 J. Kankava
8 Welton
10 G. Kharaishvili
22 N. Ninua
14 M. Do Couto
7 K. Doltmurziev
Coach · T. Ketsbaia
Substitutes
42 · Saba Tartarashvili
12 · A. Bah
34 · M. Gbomadu
33 · L. Houri
3 · A. Kalandadze
18 · T. Kvaratskhelia
11 · M. Vatsadze
24 · B. Osei
17 · P. Psaltis
Spaeri
4-2-3-1
1 B. Putkaradze
22 N. Chagunava
3 L. Kachibaia
2 giorgi pirtakhia
14 G. Samkharadze
5 T. Tsalughelashvili
6 T. Askurava
7 S. Gegiadze
10 Tamaz Tsetskhladze
19 G. Tsirdava
17 L. Kokhreidze
Coach · A. Kighuradze
Substitutes
26 · B. Jibril
20 · N. Kentchadze
8 · S. Maisuradze
13 · S. Mathenjwa
9 · G. Tsetskhladze
25 · R. Injgia
23 · N. Chomakhidze
30 · Z. Basilashvili
24 · Z. Golubiani
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Dinamo Tbilisi
4-2-3-1
20 Lucas Flores
6 Leonardo Santos
27 N. Kurdić
4 N. Ugrekhelidze
13 M. Pourzitídis
23 J. Kankava
8 Welton
10 G. Kharaishvili
22 N. Ninua
14 M. Do Couto
7 K. Doltmurziev
Coach · T. Ketsbaia
Substitutes
42 · Saba Tartarashvili
12 · A. Bah
34 · M. Gbomadu
33 · L. Houri
3 · A. Kalandadze
18 · T. Kvaratskhelia
11 · M. Vatsadze
24 · B. Osei
17 · P. Psaltis
Spaeri
4-2-3-1
1 B. Putkaradze
22 N. Chagunava
3 L. Kachibaia
2 giorgi pirtakhia
14 G. Samkharadze
5 T. Tsalughelashvili
6 T. Askurava
7 S. Gegiadze
10 Tamaz Tsetskhladze
19 G. Tsirdava
17 L. Kokhreidze
Coach · A. Kighuradze
Substitutes
26 · B. Jibril
20 · N. Kentchadze
8 · S. Maisuradze
13 · S. Mathenjwa
9 · G. Tsetskhladze
25 · R. Injgia
23 · N. Chomakhidze
30 · Z. Basilashvili
24 · Z. Golubiani
We make Dinamo Tbilisi a 59% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 2.0–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 58% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dinamo Tbilisi win | 59% | 58% | +1 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Spaeri win | 18% | 19% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 57% | +1 |
| Both teams to score | 55% | 56% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 79% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 37% | −1 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi or draw | 82% | 81% | +1 |
| Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Spaeri clean sheet | 14% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2022Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga this season · since 30 Aug
DINAMO TBILISI
SPAERI
The table
2026| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Batumi | 29 | +13 | 53 |
| 2 | Rustavi | 28 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 | FC Iberia 1999 | 28 | +9 | 49 |
| 4 | Dinamo Tbilisi | 28 | +14 | 48 |
| 5 | Dila | 28 | +6 | 40 |
| 6 | Samgurali | 29 | −9 | 38 |
| 7 | Torpedo Kutaisi | 28 | +9 | 37 |
| 8 | Gagra | 29 | −17 | 29 |
| 9 | Spaeri | 28 | −9 | 26 |
| 10 | Meshakhte | 29 | −27 | 17 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Batumi
Rustavi
FC Iberia 1999
Dila
Samgurali
Torpedo Kutaisi
Gagra
Meshakhte