Dinamo Tbilisi v FC Iberia 1999 prediction · Erovnuli Liga

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo TbilisiDrawFC Iberia 1999

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Tbilisi 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Tbilisi are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Tbilisi 40%, draw 28%, FC Iberia 1999 32%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Tbilisi v FC Iberia 1999Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Tbilisi win40%

Draw28%

FC Iberia 1999 win32%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 31

VenueBoris Paichadze Dinamo Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Tbilisi

FC Iberia 1999

8Days since last match9

Last match: 23 Oct · Erovnuli Liga

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	+18	54
3	FC Iberia 1999	29	+11	52

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo tbilisi winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Dinamo Tbilisi a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Tbilisi v FC Iberia 1999~~1.37 – 1.19

~~Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga this season · since 13 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 54 v 52~~2 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Tbilisi win	40%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
FC Iberia 1999 win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Dinamo Tbilisi or draw	68%	–	–
Dinamo Tbilisi clean sheet	31%	–	–
FC Iberia 1999 clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.3%

0123450 9.2 8.3 5.5 2.2 1 9.7 13.3 7.3 2.9 2 7.2 8.4 4.9 3 3.4 3.9 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Tbilisi down, FC Iberia 1999 across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,069 Erovnuli Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Erovnuli Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.7% of games this season, across 149 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Tbilisi at home: 1.83 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). FC Iberia 1999 away: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.37 goals for Dinamo Tbilisi, 1.19 for FC Iberia 1999. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~3 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FCI 1–2 DIN · FCI 1–0 DIN · DIN 2–0 FCI · FCI 0–0 DIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga this season · since 13 Sept

DINAMO TBILISI

WWWLWW4–0 · 3–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 3–1 · 2–0

FC IBERIA 1999

WWWLWW1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Batumi	30	+16	56
2	Dinamo Tbilisi	30	+18	54
3	FC Iberia 1999	29	+11	52
4	Rustavi	30	+10	52
5	Dila	30	+3	40
6	Samgurali	30	−12	38
7	Torpedo Kutaisi	29	+8	37
8	Gagra	30	−17	30
9	Spaeri	30	−11	27
10	Meshakhte	30	−26	20