Home › Football › Erovnuli Liga 2 › Gori v Merani Martvili

Gori v Merani Martvili

Gori

2–1Full time

Merani Martvili

Erovnuli Liga 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 17:33

Gori 2–1 Merani Martvili GORI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gori win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.407

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay3 notes · 24 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Gori win at 48%.
2′Much as we predicted: Gori was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 49% now. 0–0 · 49–26–25
2′KICK-OFF Gori v Merani Martvili
6′⚽ GOAL · 5' Gori 1–0 Merani Martvili
19′🟨 YELLOW · 17' G. Gvasalia · Merani Martvili
21′🟨 YELLOW · 21' Merani Martvili
24′5′ and it is 1–0: A. Sirbiladze on the scoresheet for Gori. 1–0 · 76–17–7
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Gori win: 48% at kick-off, 76% now
42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Gori
45′Gori ahead on 43′ through E. Tabatadze. 2–0. 2–0 · 95–4–1
45′⚽ GOAL · 43' Gori 2–0 Merani Martvili · E. Tabatadze
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Gori win: 48% at kick-off, 95% now
45′HALF-TIME Gori 2–0 Merani Martvili
46′SECOND HALF Gori 2–0 Merani Martvili
52′🟨 YELLOW · 49' G. Khetsuriani · Merani Martvili
55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Gori
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Merani Martvili · On: L. Tsulaia · Off: R. Chkhaidze
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Merani Martvili · On: R. Gagity · Off: D. Khelaia
58′🟨 YELLOW · 49' G. Khetsuriani · Merani Martvili
58′🟨 YELLOW · 54' V. Botchorishvili · Gori
58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Merani Martvili
59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Gori
67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Merani Martvili
89′🟥 RED CARD · 88' Merani Martvili
90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' N. Chumburidze · Merani Martvili
90′🟥 RED CARD · 88' N. Chumburidze · Merani Martvili
90′⚽ GOAL · 93' Gori 2–1 Merani Martvili
FTFULL TIME Gori 2–1 Merani Martvili
FTGori 2–1 Merani Martvili · Gori win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Gori win48%

Draw27%

Merani Martvili win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 15:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Gori

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Puladze

2 L. Elbakidze

16 N. Okropiridze

23 V. Botchorishvili

3 S. Akhalkatsi

15 B. Hamondi

27 G. Gazdeliani

14 G. Kurmashvili

8 E. Tabatadze

22 J. Owusu-Ansa

13 A. Sirbiladze

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · E. Guluashvili

5 · G. Mamulashvili

7 · N. Ninidze

6 · U. Khubuluri

10 · G. Alimbarashvili

18 · G. Bekadze

35 · A. Koberidze

25 · L. Otinashvili

Merani Martvili

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Khamkhoev

23 G. Gvasalia

4 N. Kharabadze

25 D. Mala

5 N. Chumburidze

14 D. Khelaia

6 R. Chkhaidze

10 L. Tsotsonava

24 S. Kukhianidze

19 L. Gadilia

7 J. Esonkulov

Coach · –

Substitutes

31 · V. Chachava

8 · L. Kadaria

11 · G. Ugrekhelidze

17 · G. Khetsuriani

18 · L. Tsulaia

20 · R. Gagity

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Gori

Formation not confirmed

1 P. Puladze

2 L. Elbakidze

16 N. Okropiridze

23 V. Botchorishvili

3 S. Akhalkatsi

15 B. Hamondi

27 G. Gazdeliani

14 G. Kurmashvili

8 E. Tabatadze

22 J. Owusu-Ansa

13 A. Sirbiladze

Coach · –

Substitutes

12 · E. Guluashvili

5 · G. Mamulashvili

7 · N. Ninidze

6 · U. Khubuluri

10 · G. Alimbarashvili

18 · G. Bekadze

35 · A. Koberidze

25 · L. Otinashvili

Merani Martvili

Formation not confirmed

1 K. Khamkhoev

23 G. Gvasalia

4 N. Kharabadze

25 D. Mala

5 N. Chumburidze

14 D. Khelaia

6 R. Chkhaidze

10 L. Tsotsonava

24 S. Kukhianidze

19 L. Gadilia

7 J. Esonkulov

Coach · –

Substitutes

31 · V. Chachava

8 · L. Kadaria

11 · G. Ugrekhelidze

17 · G. Khetsuriani

18 · L. Tsulaia

20 · R. Gagity

Our number · gori winPublished 10 Oct 15:19

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Gori a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gori win	48%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Merani Martvili win	25%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Gori or draw	75%	–	–
Gori clean sheet	36%	–	–
Merani Martvili clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.0 7.3 4.2 1 11.1 12.7 6.1 2.1 2 9.0 8.9 4.6 3 4.6 4.6 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gori down, Merani Martvili across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,007 Erovnuli Liga 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Erovnuli Liga 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.5% of games this season, across 135 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 2.33 goals a meeting; 1 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Gori at home: 2.00 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Merani Martvili away: 0.33 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.53 goals for Gori, 1.02 for Merani Martvili. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.33

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 3

~~Both scored~~0 of 3

~~Last meetings~~MER 0–2 GOR · GOR 0–3 MER · MER 2–0 GOR

Form · last six in Erovnuli Liga 2

GORI

LWWDLD0–1 · 3–1 · 3–2 · 2–2 · 1–2 · 1–1

MERANI MARTVILI

LLLWWL0–1 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 0–5

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Gareji	27	+7	50
2	Shturmi	27	+6	43
3	Telavi	27	+4	43
4	Samtredia	27	+8	37
5	Merani Martvili	27	−4	37
6	Aragvi Dusheti	27	−7	35
7	Sioni	27	+1	33
8	Odishi 1919	27	−8	32
9	Kolkheti Poti	27	+1	28
10	Gori	27	−8	27