Dinamo Batumi v Dila prediction · David Kipiani Cup

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo BatumiDrawDila

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Batumi 41%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Batumi are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Batumi 41%, draw 26%, Dila 33%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Batumi v DilaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 22 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Batumi win41%

Draw26%

Dila win33%

Kick-offWED 28 OCT · 16:00

RoundSemi-finals

VenueBatumi Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Batumi

Dila

4Days since last match4

Last match: 24 Oct · Erovnuli Liga

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo batumi winFirst published 22 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:29 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Dinamo Batumi a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Batumi v Dila~~1.56 – 1.38

~~Form · David Kipiani Cup this season · since 25 July~~W2 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Dinamo Batumi win

Published at 39%, 41% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Batumi win	41%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Dila win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Dinamo Batumi or draw	67%	–	–
Dinamo Batumi clean sheet	26%	–	–
Dila clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 6.6 6.6 5.2 2.4 1 7.5 12.1 7.6 3.5 2 6.4 8.5 5.8 2.7 3 3.3 4.5 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Batumi down, Dila across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,069 Erovnuli Liga matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Erovnuli Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 53.7% of games this season, across 149 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Batumi at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Dila away: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Dinamo Batumi, 1.38 for Dila. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~DIL 2–2 DIN · DIN 3–2 DIL · DIL 1–0 DIN · DIN 1–2 DIL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · David Kipiani Cup this season · since 25 July

DINAMO BATUMI

WWD4–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

DILA

WWD1–0 · 2–0 · 1–1

Dinamo Batumi v Dila

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Dinamo Batumi

Dila

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · David Kipiani Cup this season · since 25 July