UF Touraine v Nimes prediction · National 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 20:34

UF Touraine 1–0 Nimes NIMES WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Nimes win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.751

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Nimes are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: UF Touraine 29%, draw 30%, Nimes 41%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on UF Touraine v NimesBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

UF Touraine win29%

Draw30%

Nimes win41%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 18:00

RoundGroup C · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

UF Touraine

Nimes

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · National 2 - Group C

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · nimes winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Nimes a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · UF Touraine v Nimes~~1.07 – 1.30

~~Form · National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D3 L0 · W5 D1 L0

~~Table places · points 9 v 16~~6 v 1

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
UF Touraine win	29%	–	–
Draw	30%	–	–
Nimes win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	42%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	69%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
UF Touraine or draw	59%	–	–
UF Touraine clean sheet	28%	–	–
Nimes clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.9%

0123450 11.0 11.0 7.9 3.5 1 8.9 13.9 8.2 3.6 2 5.4 6.8 4.4 3 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+UF Touraine down, Nimes across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,191 National 2 - Group C matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group C matches have gone over 2.5 in 49.0% of games this season, across 49 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

UF Touraine at home: 1.00 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 2). Nimes away: 2.17 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.07 goals for UF Touraine, 1.30 for Nimes. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug

UF TOURAINE

WDDWD1–0 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–0 · 2–2

NIMES

WWWWWD3–1 · 3–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nimes	6	+12	16
2	Hyères	6	+7	12
3	Rumilly Vallières	7	+10	12
4	Toulon	6	+4	11
5	Chasselay MDA	5	+4	9
6	UF Touraine	5	+2	9
7	Hauts Lyonnais	6	0	9
8	Fréjus St-Raphaël	6	−1	9
9	Andrézieux	6	+1	8
10	Troyes II	6	−5	7
11	Saint-Priest	6	−4	6
12	Limonest	5	−3	5
13	Bourges Foot 18	5	−1	4
14	Istres	6	−4	4
15	Chateauroux	6	−5	3
16	Lyon Duchere	6	−10	3
17	Canet Roussillon	5	−7	2