Chasselay MDA v Hauts Lyonnais prediction · National 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Chasselay MDADrawHauts Lyonnais

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Chasselay MDA 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Chasselay MDA are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Chasselay MDA 44%, draw 29%, Hauts Lyonnais 27%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Chasselay MDA v Hauts LyonnaisBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Chasselay MDA win44%

Draw29%

Hauts Lyonnais win27%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup C · matchday 8

VenueStade Ludovic Giuly

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Chasselay MDA

Hauts Lyonnais

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · National 2 - Group C

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	Hauts Lyonnais	7	0	10
9	Chasselay MDA	6	+3	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · chasselay mda winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Chasselay MDA a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Chasselay MDA v Hauts Lyonnais~~1.44 – 1.08

~~Form · last six in National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D3 L1 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~9 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Chasselay MDA win	44%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Hauts Lyonnais win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Chasselay MDA or draw	73%	–	–
Chasselay MDA clean sheet	34%	–	–
Hauts Lyonnais clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.4%

0123450 9.6 7.6 4.7 1 10.5 13.4 6.6 2.4 2 8.3 8.7 4.7 3 4.0 4.2 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Chasselay MDA down, Hauts Lyonnais across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,198 National 2 - Group C matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group C matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2019/20.

Home and away form

Chasselay MDA at home: 1.33 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Hauts Lyonnais away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Chasselay MDA, 1.08 for Hauts Lyonnais. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2019/20

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2019/20.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug

CHASSELAY MDA

DDDWWL1–1 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 0–1

HAUTS LYONNAIS

WWDLDD2–1 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 1–1 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nimes	7	+11	16
2	Hyères	7	+7	13
3	Toulon	7	+4	12
4	UF Touraine	6	+3	12
5	Rumilly Vallières	7	+10	12
6	Fréjus St-Raphaël	7	+3	12
7	Hauts Lyonnais	7	0	10
8	Troyes II	7	−4	10
9	Chasselay MDA	6	+3	9
10	Andrézieux	7	+1	9
11	Saint-Priest	7	−4	7
12	Limonest	6	−3	6
13	Lyon Duchere	7	−7	6
14	Istres	6	−4	4
15	Bourges Foot 18	6	−4	4
16	Chateauroux	6	−5	3
17	Canet Roussillon	6	−11	2