Bourges Foot 18 v Troyes II prediction · National 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bourges Foot 18DrawTroyes II

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bourges Foot 18 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bourges Foot 18 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bourges Foot 18 40%, draw 31%, Troyes II 29%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Bourges Foot 18 v Troyes IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Bourges Foot 18 win40%

Draw31%

Troyes II win29%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup C · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bourges Foot 18

Troyes II

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · National 2 - Group C

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Troyes II	7	−4	10
15	Bourges Foot 18	6	−4	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bourges foot 18 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Bourges Foot 18 a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bourges Foot 18 v Troyes II~~1.23 – 1.01

~~Form · last six in National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug~~W0 D4 L2 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 10~~15 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bourges Foot 18 win	40%	–	–
Draw	31%	–	–
Troyes II win	29%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	39%	–	–
Both teams to score	45%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	19%	–	–
Bourges Foot 18 or draw	71%	–	–
Bourges Foot 18 clean sheet	37%	–	–
Troyes II clean sheet	30%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 14.1%

0123450 12.3 9.6 5.5 1 11.9 14.1 6.5 2.2 2 8.0 7.9 4.0 3 3.3 3.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bourges Foot 18 down, Troyes II across0–5 goals a side shown (99.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,198 National 2 - Group C matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group C matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

Home and away form

Bourges Foot 18 at home: 0.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 3). Troyes II away: 0.00 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.23 goals for Bourges Foot 18, 1.01 for Troyes II. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National 2 - Group C this season · since 22 Aug

BOURGES FOOT 18

DDDDLL1–1 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 0–3

TROYES II

LWLWLW0–3 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Nimes	7	+11	16
2	Hyères	7	+7	13
3	Toulon	7	+4	12
4	UF Touraine	6	+3	12
5	Rumilly Vallières	7	+10	12
6	Fréjus St-Raphaël	7	+3	12
7	Hauts Lyonnais	7	0	10
8	Troyes II	7	−4	10
9	Chasselay MDA	6	+3	9
10	Andrézieux	7	+1	9
11	Saint-Priest	7	−4	7
12	Limonest	6	−3	6
13	Lyon Duchere	7	−7	6
14	Istres	6	−4	4
15	Bourges Foot 18	6	−4	4
16	Chateauroux	6	−5	3
17	Canet Roussillon	6	−11	2