Le Poiré sur Vie v Les Herbiers prediction · National 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Le Poiré sur VieDrawLes Herbiers

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Les Herbiers 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Les Herbiers are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Le Poiré sur Vie 24%, draw 27%, Les Herbiers 48%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Le Poiré sur Vie v Les HerbiersBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Le Poiré sur Vie win24%

Draw27%

Les Herbiers win48%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup B · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Le Poiré sur Vie

Les Herbiers

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · National 2 - Group B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Le Poiré sur Vie	7	−1	9
12	Les Herbiers	7	−2	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · les herbiers winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Les Herbiers a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Le Poiré sur Vie v Les Herbiers~~0.98 – 1.50

~~Form · last six in National 2 - Group B this season · since 28 Aug~~W3 D0 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 9 v 8~~9 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Le Poiré sur Vie win	24%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Les Herbiers win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	45%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	24%	–	–
Le Poiré sur Vie or draw	52%	–	–
Le Poiré sur Vie clean sheet	23%	–	–
Les Herbiers clean sheet	38%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 9.3 12.0 9.4 4.7 1 7.8 12.7 9.0 4.5 2 4.1 5.9 4.4 2.2 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Le Poiré sur Vie down, Les Herbiers across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,197 National 2 - Group B matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group B matches have gone over 2.5 in 44.6% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Le Poiré sur Vie at home: 1.50 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Les Herbiers away: 1.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.98 goals for Le Poiré sur Vie, 1.50 for Les Herbiers. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~LES 4–1 LEP · LEP 1–1 LES

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National 2 - Group B this season · since 28 Aug

LE POIRÉ SUR VIE

LLWWWL0–4 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–0 · 1–2

LES HERBIERS

LLWLWD0–2 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Angoulême	7	+7	17
2	Bayonne	7	+6	16
3	Avranches	7	+7	14
4	Lorient II	7	+6	12
5	Granville	7	0	11
6	Dinan Léhon	7	0	11
7	Saint-Malo	7	+3	11
8	Stade Briochin	7	+2	10
9	Le Poiré sur Vie	7	−1	9
10	Tarbes	7	−1	9
11	Saint-Colomban Locminé	7	0	8
12	Les Herbiers	7	−2	8
13	Saumur	7	−5	7
14	Pontivy GSI	7	−5	4
15	Châteaubriant	7	−7	4
16	Chauray	7	−10	1