Angoulême v Le Poiré sur Vie prediction · National 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:40

Angoulême 2–1 Le Poiré sur Vie ANGOULÊME WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Angoulême win~~56%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.293

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Angoulême are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Angoulême 56%, draw 25%, Le Poiré sur Vie 19%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Angoulême v Le Poiré sur VieBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Angoulême win56%

Draw25%

Le Poiré sur Vie win19%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup B · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Angoulême

Le Poiré sur Vie

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · National 2 - Group B

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · angoulême winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

56% The market–

Us56%

We make Angoulême a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Angoulême v Le Poiré sur Vie~~1.71 – 0.89

~~Form · National 2 - Group B this season · since 22 Aug~~W4 D2 L0 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 9~~1 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Angoulême win	56%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Le Poiré sur Vie win	19%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Angoulême or draw	81%	–	–
Angoulême clean sheet	42%	–	–
Le Poiré sur Vie clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.3%

0123450 8.3 6.3 3.0 1 12.3 11.6 5.0 2 10.7 9.4 4.2 3 6.1 5.3 2.4 4 2.7 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Angoulême down, Le Poiré sur Vie across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,189 National 2 - Group B matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group B matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2020/21.

Home and away form

Angoulême at home: 1.50 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Le Poiré sur Vie away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.71 goals for Angoulême, 0.89 for Le Poiré sur Vie. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2020/21

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2020/21.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National 2 - Group B this season · since 22 Aug

ANGOULÊME

WDWWDW2–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 1–0

LE POIRÉ SUR VIE

LLLWWW0–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 3–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Angoulême	6	+6	14
2	Bayonne	6	+4	13
3	Granville	6	+1	11
4	Avranches	6	+5	11
5	Dinan Léhon	6	+2	11
6	Saint-Malo	6	+5	11
7	Tarbes	6	+1	9
8	Lorient II	6	+4	9
9	Le Poiré sur Vie	6	0	9
10	Stade Briochin	6	+2	9
11	Les Herbiers	6	−2	7
12	Saint-Colomban Locminé	6	−2	5
13	Saumur	6	−6	4
14	Pontivy GSI	6	−5	3
15	Châteaubriant	6	−7	3
16	Chauray	6	−8	1