St-Pryvé St-Hilaire v Chantilly prediction · National 2

AI match analysis

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Pitchside prediction · postponed

St-Pryvé St-Hilaire are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: St-Pryvé St-Hilaire 51%, draw 26%, Chantilly 22%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 52%.

The AI’s read on St-Pryvé St-Hilaire v ChantillyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

St-Pryvé St-Hilaire win51%

Draw26%

Chantilly win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup A · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

St-Pryvé St-Hilaire

Chantilly

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · National 2 - Group A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
15	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	6	−3	3
16	Chantilly	6	−15	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · st-pryvé st-hilaire winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · postponed, not graded

51% The market–

Us51%

We make St-Pryvé St-Hilaire a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · St-Pryvé St-Hilaire v Chantilly~~1.69 – 1.03

~~Form · National 2 - Group A this season · since 22 Aug~~W0 D3 L3 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 3 v 1~~15 v 16

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire win	51%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Chantilly win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	51%	–	–
Both teams to score	52%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire or draw	78%	–	–
St-Pryvé St-Hilaire clean sheet	36%	–	–
Chantilly clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.3%

0123450 8.3 5.7 3.6 1 9.9 12.3 5.7 2.0 2 9.3 9.2 4.7 3 5.3 5.3 2.7 4 2.4 2.4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+St-Pryvé St-Hilaire down, Chantilly across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,190 National 2 - Group A matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group A matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.7% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

St-Pryvé St-Hilaire at home: 1.00 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Chantilly away: 1.00 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for St-Pryvé St-Hilaire, 1.03 for Chantilly. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~CHA 3–2 STP · STP 0–1 CHA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National 2 - Group A this season · since 22 Aug

ST-PRYVÉ ST-HILAIRE

DLDLDL1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

CHANTILLY

DLLLLL1–1 · 1–3 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 1–3 · 0–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Furiani-Agliani	6	+10	14
2	St Maur Lusitanos	6	+5	14
3	Racing Colombes 92	6	+5	13
4	Feignies-Aulnoye	6	+3	12
5	Chambly Thelle FC	6	+5	12
6	Creteil	6	+3	11
7	Dieppe	6	+1	9
8	Biesheim	6	+4	8
9	Haguenau	6	−3	6
10	Montlouis	6	−3	6
11	Epinal	6	−1	5
12	Le Pays du Valois	6	−2	5
13	Bastia-Borgo	6	−4	5
14	Colmar	6	−5	5
15	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	6	−3	3
16	Chantilly	6	−15	1