Furiani-Agliani v Biesheim prediction · National 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Furiani-AglianiDrawBiesheim

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Furiani-Agliani 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Furiani-Agliani are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Furiani-Agliani 48%, draw 26%, Biesheim 26%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Furiani-Agliani v BiesheimBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Furiani-Agliani win48%

Draw26%

Biesheim win26%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Furiani-Agliani

Biesheim

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · National 2 - Group A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Furiani-Agliani	7	+8	14
7	Biesheim	7	+5	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · furiani-agliani winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Furiani-Agliani a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Furiani-Agliani v Biesheim~~1.76 – 1.25

~~Form · last six in National 2 - Group A this season · since 29 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 14 v 11~~5 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Furiani-Agliani win	48%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Biesheim win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
Furiani-Agliani or draw	74%	–	–
Furiani-Agliani clean sheet	29%	–	–
Biesheim clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.8%

0123450 6.6 5.1 3.9 1 7.6 11.8 6.6 2.8 2 7.6 9.2 5.7 2.4 3 4.5 5.4 3.4 4 2.0 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Furiani-Agliani down, Biesheim across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,197 National 2 - Group A matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group A matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.5% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.17 goals a meeting; 4 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Furiani-Agliani at home: 2.25 scored, 0.75 conceded a game (last 4). Biesheim away: 1.33 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Furiani-Agliani, 1.25 for Biesheim. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.17

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 6

~~Both scored~~4 of 6

~~Last meetings~~BIE 2–1 FUR · FUR 1–1 BIE · BIE 0–1 FUR · FUR 2–2 BIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National 2 - Group A this season · since 29 Aug

FURIANI-AGLIANI

DWWWWL1–1 · 3–2 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 5–1 · 1–3

BIESHEIM

LDLWWW0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–2 · 4–0 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Maur Lusitanos	7	+5	15
2	Chambly Thelle FC	7	+6	15
3	Creteil	7	+5	14
4	Racing Colombes 92	7	+5	14
5	Furiani-Agliani	7	+8	14
6	Feignies-Aulnoye	7	+3	13
7	Biesheim	7	+5	11
8	Dieppe	7	0	9
9	Le Pays du Valois	7	+1	8
10	Bastia-Borgo	7	−1	8
11	Haguenau	7	−3	7
12	Montlouis	7	−6	6
13	Epinal	7	−2	5
14	Colmar	7	−8	5
15	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	6	−3	3
16	Chantilly	6	−15	1