Creteil v Haguenau prediction · National 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CreteilDrawHaguenau

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Creteil 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Creteil are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Creteil 48%, draw 29%, Haguenau 23%. Over 2.5 goals 43%, both teams to score 47%.

The AI’s read on Creteil v HaguenauBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Creteil win48%

Draw29%

Haguenau win23%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundGroup A · matchday 8

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Creteil

Haguenau

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · National 2 - Group A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Creteil	7	+5	14
11	Haguenau	7	−3	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · creteil winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Creteil a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Creteil v Haguenau~~1.47 – 0.93

~~Form · last six in National 2 - Group A this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D2 L1 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 14 v 7~~3 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Creteil win	48%	–	–
Draw	29%	–	–
Haguenau win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	43%	–	–
Both teams to score	47%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	70%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	22%	–	–
Creteil or draw	77%	–	–
Creteil clean sheet	40%	–	–
Haguenau clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.5%

0123450 11.0 7.2 4.0 1 12.1 13.5 5.6 2 9.7 8.7 4.0 3 4.8 4.3 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Creteil down, Haguenau across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,197 National 2 - Group A matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group A matches have gone over 2.5 in 45.5% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2018/19 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Creteil at home: 1.75 scored, 0.75 conceded a game (last 4). Haguenau away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.47 goals for Creteil, 0.93 for Haguenau. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2018/19

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~3 of 8

~~Last meetings~~CRE 1–0 HAG · HAG 2–2 CRE · HAG 1–4 CRE · CRE 2–0 HAG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in National 2 - Group A this season · since 29 Aug

CRETEIL

DLDWWW1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

HAGUENAU

WLWLLD3–1 · 0–1 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–5 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	St Maur Lusitanos	7	+5	15
2	Chambly Thelle FC	7	+6	15
3	Creteil	7	+5	14
4	Racing Colombes 92	7	+5	14
5	Furiani-Agliani	7	+8	14
6	Feignies-Aulnoye	7	+3	13
7	Biesheim	7	+5	11
8	Dieppe	7	0	9
9	Le Pays du Valois	7	+1	8
10	Bastia-Borgo	7	−1	8
11	Haguenau	7	−3	7
12	Montlouis	7	−6	6
13	Epinal	7	−2	5
14	Colmar	7	−8	5
15	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	6	−3	3
16	Chantilly	6	−15	1