Biesheim v Epinal prediction · National 2

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:11

Biesheim 3–2 Epinal BIESHEIM WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Biesheim win~~47%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.415

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Biesheim are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Biesheim 47%, draw 28%, Epinal 24%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Biesheim v EpinalBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Biesheim win47%

Draw28%

Epinal win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup A · matchday 7

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Biesheim

Epinal

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · National 2 - Group A

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Biesheim	6	+4	8
11	Epinal	6	−1	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · biesheim winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

47% The market–

Us47%

We make Biesheim a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Biesheim v Epinal~~1.52 – 1.02

~~Form · National 2 - Group A this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D2 L2 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 8 v 5~~8 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Biesheim win	47%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Epinal win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Biesheim or draw	76%	–	–
Biesheim clean sheet	37%	–	–
Epinal clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 13.2%

0123450 9.7 6.8 4.1 1 10.8 13.2 6.0 2.1 2 9.1 8.9 4.5 3 4.6 4.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Biesheim down, Epinal across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,190 National 2 - Group A matches up to 3 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: National 2 - Group A matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.7% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2020/21 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Biesheim at home: 2.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Epinal away: 0.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.52 goals for Biesheim, 1.02 for Epinal. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2020/21

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~EPI 2–1 BIE · BIE 0–1 EPI · BIE 1–2 EPI · EPI 2–4 BIE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · National 2 - Group A this season · since 22 Aug

BIESHEIM

DLDLWW1–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 5–2 · 4–0

EPINAL

DDWLLL1–1 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Furiani-Agliani	6	+10	14
2	St Maur Lusitanos	6	+5	14
3	Racing Colombes 92	6	+5	13
4	Feignies-Aulnoye	6	+3	12
5	Chambly Thelle FC	6	+5	12
6	Creteil	6	+3	11
7	Dieppe	6	+1	9
8	Biesheim	6	+4	8
9	Haguenau	6	−3	6
10	Montlouis	6	−3	6
11	Epinal	6	−1	5
12	Le Pays du Valois	6	−2	5
13	Bastia-Borgo	6	−4	5
14	Colmar	6	−5	5
15	St-Pryvé St-Hilaire	6	−3	3
16	Chantilly	6	−15	1