Valenciennes v Amiens

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Amiens win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Amiens was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 31–31–38
3. 1′KICK-OFF Valenciennes v Amiens
4. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Amiens
5. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Amiens
6. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Amiens win 33%)
7. 34′Amiens score on 34′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 8–20–72
8. 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Valenciennes 0–1 Amiens
9. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Amiens win: 38% at kick-off, 72% now
10. 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Amiens win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 20%)
11. 35′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 72%. 0–1 · 8–20–72
12. 35′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 8–20–72
13. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Valenciennes
14. 45′HALF-TIME Valenciennes 0–1 Amiens
15. 46′SECOND HALF Valenciennes 0–1 Amiens
16. 48′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–20–75
17. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Valenciennes
18. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Amiens win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
19. 63′34′: M. Colin on the scoresheet for Amiens, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 3–17–80
20. 63′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
21. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Amiens · On: E. Julien · Off: C. Mbondi
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Valenciennes · On: S. Belloumou · Off: V. Marcel
23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Valenciennes · On: J. Ndiaye · Off: L. Boiteau
24. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Valenciennes
25. 73′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
26. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Amiens win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
27. 80′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
28. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Amiens · On: I. Ramla · Off: M. Colin
29. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Amiens · On: G. Foll · Off: A. Nuss
30. 86′We published Amiens at 38%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
31. 88′Valenciennes find the net on 87′. 1–1. 1–1 · 4–91–5
32. 88′We said Amiens at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 1–1 · 4–91–5
33. 88′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 1–1 · 4–91–5
34. 88′⚽ GOAL · 87' Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens
35. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Amiens win: 38% at kick-off, 5% now
36. 88′THE CALL SWINGS · 88' Draw is now our likeliest result at 91% (was Amiens win 5%)
37. 89′We said Amiens at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
38. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Valenciennes · On: G. Courtet · Off: C. Rocchia
39. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Valenciennes · On: A. Wahib · Off: Z. Amir
40. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Amiens · On: L. Diakite · Off: Z. Sopromadze
41. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Amiens · On: A. Chabane · Off: R. Boissier
42. FTFULL TIME Valenciennes 1–1 Amiens
43. FTValenciennes 1–1 Amiens · Amiens win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.