Thionville Lusitanos v Versailles

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Thionville Lusitanos win at 39%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Thionville Lusitanos 39% before kick-off, 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Thionville Lusitanos v Versailles
4. 23′A goal for Versailles on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–22–64
5. 23′We said Thionville Lusitanos at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–22–64
6. 23′⚽ GOAL · 22' Thionville Lusitanos 0–1 Versailles
7. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Thionville Lusitanos win: 39% at kick-off, 14% now
8. 23′THE CALL SWINGS · 23' Versailles win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Thionville Lusitanos win 14%)
9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 13–22–65
10. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Versailles · On: J. Kalai · Off: A. Etien
11. 36′SUBSTITUTION · 35' Thionville Lusitanos · On: J. Moustaid · Off: B. Diarra
12. 45′We said Thionville Lusitanos at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–22–68
13. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Thionville Lusitanos win: 39% at kick-off, 9% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME Thionville Lusitanos 0–1 Versailles
15. 46′SECOND HALF Thionville Lusitanos 0–1 Versailles
16. 63′S. Cara scores for Versailles on 22′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 5–20–75
17. 64′We said Thionville Lusitanos at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 5%. 0–1 · 5–20–76
18. 65′We said Thionville Lusitanos at 39%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–1 · 4–20–76
19. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Thionville Lusitanos · On: S. Kalambayi Mukuta · Off: K. Tubio
20. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Thionville Lusitanos · On: A. Gouletquer · Off: K. Bouhmidi
21. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Thionville Lusitanos · On: B. Labissiere · Off: G. Laurens
22. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Versailles · On: A. Kabamba · Off: S. Cara
23. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Versailles · On: K. Rocha Santos · Off: J. Kalai
24. 89′Thionville Lusitanos score on 88′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 5–90–5
25. 89′⚽ GOAL · 88' Thionville Lusitanos 1–1 Versailles
26. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Draw is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Versailles win 5%)
27. 90′Versailles find the net on 90′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
28. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Thionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles
29. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Versailles win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
30. 91′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–4–96
31. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Versailles · On: A. Zakharyan · Off: J. Leborgne
32. FTFULL TIME Thionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles
33. FTThionville Lusitanos 1–2 Versailles · Thionville Lusitanos win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.