Quevilly v Orleans

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Quevilly win at 37%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Quevilly was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–31–33
3. 1′KICK-OFF Quevilly v Orleans
4. 3′🟨 YELLOW · 2' Quevilly
5. 4′🟨 YELLOW · 4' Orleans
6. 27′Quevilly find the net on 27′. 1–0. 1–0 · 70–20–10
7. 27′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
8. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Quevilly 1–0 Orleans
9. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 70% now
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 70–21–10
11. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Quevilly
12. 40′A goal for Orleans on 39′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 31–41–28
13. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Quevilly 1–1 Orleans
14. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 31% now
15. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Quevilly win 31%)
16. 42′R. Legendre scores for Orleans on 40′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 30–42–28
17. 45′HALF-TIME Quevilly 1–1 Orleans
18. 46′SECOND HALF Quevilly 1–1 Orleans
19. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 27% now
20. 56′Quevilly score on 56′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 76–19–5
21. 56′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 76%. 2–1 · 76–19–5
22. 56′⚽ GOAL · 56' Quevilly 2–1 Orleans
23. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 76% now
24. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Quevilly win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 19%)
25. 57′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 76–19–5
26. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 77% now
27. 61′Quevilly score on 56′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 78–18–4
28. 61′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 78%. 2–1 · 78–18–4
29. 62′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 78–18–4
30. 65′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
31. 70′Orleans find the net on 70′. 2–2. 2–2 · 19–64–18
32. 70′We said Quevilly at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–64–18
33. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Quevilly 2–2 Orleans
34. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 19% now
35. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Quevilly win 19%)
36. 71′4 goals already, more than the 2.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 18–65–17
37. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Orleans · On: J. Koembo · Off: M. Lemaitre
38. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Quevilly · On: B. El Kaddouri · Off: R. Silva
39. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 17% now
40. 75′A goal for Quevilly on 75′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 86–13–1
41. 75′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 86%. 3–2 · 86–13–1
42. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Quevilly 3–2 Orleans
43. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 75' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 86% now
44. 75′THE CALL SWINGS · 75' Quevilly win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
45. 76′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.4 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 86–12–1
46. 77′Y. Gazzaoui scores for Quevilly on 77′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 87–12–1
47. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 87% now
48. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Orleans · On: S. Noireau-Dauriat · Off: H. Aubourg
49. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Orleans · On: L. Raillot · Off: G. Khous
50. 80′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–10–1
51. 81′A red card for Orleans on 81′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 3–2 · 90–9–1
52. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Orleans
53. 87′We published Quevilly at 37%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
54. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Orleans · On: E. Balenga · Off: A. Ribeiro
55. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Quevilly · On: M. Ros · Off: Y. Gazzaoui
56. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Quevilly · On: R. Rosa · Off: D. Sarr
57. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Quevilly · On: W. Tchimbembe · Off: D. Seck
58. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Quevilly win: 37% at kick-off, 97% now
59. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Orleans
60. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Orleans
61. FTFULL TIME Quevilly 3–2 Orleans
62. FTQuevilly 3–2 Orleans · Quevilly win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.