Concarneau v Bastia

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Concarneau win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Concarneau was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 43–30–27
3. 1′KICK-OFF Concarneau v Bastia
4. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Bastia
5. 34′SUBSTITUTION · 31' Concarneau · On: K. Benabdelouahed · Off: G. Lafontaine
6. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Concarneau win 35%)
7. 45′HALF-TIME Concarneau 0–0 Bastia
8. 46′SECOND HALF Concarneau 0–0 Bastia
9. 47′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+2' Concarneau win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
10. 52′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 31–46–22
11. 52′🟨 YELLOW · 52' Bastia
12. 55′We expected about 2.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 30–49–21
13. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Bastia
14. 57′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–50–21
15. 59′A goal for Bastia on 59′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 6–22–72
16. 59′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–1 · 6–22–72
17. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Concarneau 0–1 Bastia
18. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' Concarneau win: 43% at kick-off, 6% now
19. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Bastia win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 22%)
20. 64′Concarneau score on 63′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 25–56–18
21. 64′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 25%. 1–1 · 25–56–18
22. 64′⚽ GOAL · 63' Concarneau 1–1 Bastia
23. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 64' Concarneau win: 43% at kick-off, 25% now
24. 64′THE CALL SWINGS · 64' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Bastia win 18%)
25. 65′62′: L. Goujon on the scoresheet for Concarneau, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 25–57–18
26. 65′Goals are coming at about the 2.4 we expected. 1–1 · 25–57–18
27. 66′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–58–18
28. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Concarneau · On: F. Da Silva · Off: B. Macon
29. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Concarneau · On: L. Rosier · Off: G. Gbelle
30. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Bastia · On: M. Boumaaoui · Off: C. Rodrigues
31. 73′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–67–14
32. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Bastia · On: A. Zaouai · Off: H. Makalou
33. 79′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–76–10
34. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Concarneau win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
35. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Concarneau
36. 83′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–84–7
37. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Concarneau · On: A. Sidibe · Off: L. Goujon
38. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Bastia · On: D. Djedje · Off: C. Melieres
39. 90′We said Concarneau at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–3
40. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Concarneau win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
41. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Bastia
42. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Bastia · On: M. Petrignani · Off: N. Alebate
43. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90' Bastia · On: D. Diarra · Off: E. Garnier
44. FTFULL TIME Concarneau 1–1 Bastia
45. FTConcarneau 1–1 Bastia · Concarneau win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.