Aubagne v Le Puy Foot

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Le Puy Foot win at 35%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Le Puy Foot 35% before kick-off, 35% now. 0–0 · 35–30–35
3. 1′KICK-OFF Aubagne v Le Puy Foot
4. 14′A goal for Le Puy Foot on 14′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 14–20–66
5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Aubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 66% now
7. 14′THE CALL SWINGS · 14' Le Puy Foot win is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Aubagne win 14%)
8. 15′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 66%. 0–1 · 14–20–66
9. 17′GOAL DISALLOWED · 17' Le Puy Foot
10. 17′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 17' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 34% now
11. 33′THE CALL SWINGS · 33' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Le Puy Foot win 32%)
12. 45′HALF-TIME Aubagne 0–0 Le Puy Foot
13. 46′SECOND HALF Aubagne 0–0 Le Puy Foot
14. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Aubagne · On: I. Diakite · Off: A. Sadi
15. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Aubagne · On: J. Sahraoui · Off: A. Oudjani
16. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 53' Le Puy Foot · On: W. Zahibo · Off: S. Lebouath
17. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 26–48–26
18. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 25% now
19. 63′We said Le Puy Foot at 35%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–0 · 23–54–23
20. 63′Goalless on 63′ when we expected about 2.5 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 23–54–23
21. 63′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Aubagne
22. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Le Puy Foot · On: M. Emmanuel · Off: P. Nsingi
23. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Aubagne
24. 65′A goal for Le Puy Foot on 65′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 4–18–78
25. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Aubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
26. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 78% now
27. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Le Puy Foot win is now our likeliest result at 78% (was Draw 18%)
28. 66′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 79%. 0–1 · 3–18–79
29. 68′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
30. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Le Puy Foot
31. 70′W. Zahibo scores for Le Puy Foot on 64′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 3–16–81
32. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Aubagne · On: W. Bouaziz · Off: A. Faiz
33. 76′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 1–13–85
34. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 85% now
35. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Aubagne · On: A. Tafni · Off: B. Doukansy
36. 81′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
37. 88′We said Le Puy Foot at 35% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
38. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 88' Le Puy Foot win: 35% at kick-off, 95% now
39. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Le Puy Foot · On: M. Mazaudier · Off: M. Faty
40. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Aubagne · On: B. Tafni · Off: K. Cisse
41. FTFULL TIME Aubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot
42. FTAubagne 0–1 Le Puy Foot · Le Puy Foot win: right · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.