Saint Etienne v Nantes

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Saint Etienne win at 59%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: Saint Etienne was 59% before kick-off and our model makes it 59% now. 0–0 · 59–22–19
3. 2′KICK-OFF Saint Etienne v Nantes
4. 12′SUBSTITUTION · 10' Nantes · On: Killian Corredor · Off: Thomas Robinet
5. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 49% now
6. 42′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 47%. 0–0 · 47–34–19
7. 45′SECOND HALF Saint Etienne 0–0 Nantes
8. 47′HALF-TIME Saint Etienne 0–0 Nantes
9. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Kelvin Amian · Nantes
10. 50′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–38–18
11. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Augustine Boakye · Saint Etienne
12. 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 41–42–17
13. 58′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–44–17
14. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 39% now
15. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Saint Etienne win 41%)
16. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Fode Doucoure · Nantes
17. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Nantes · On: Fabien Centonze · Off: Fode Doucoure
18. 60′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Nantes · On: Louis Leroux · Off: Ibrahima Sissoko
19. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Johann Lepenant · Nantes
20. 65′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–51–15
21. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Saint Etienne · On: Chico Lamba · Off: Ben Old
22. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Saint Etienne · On: Thierno Ballo · Off: Irvin Cardona
23. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 29% now
24. 71′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 28%. 0–0 · 28–58–13
25. 75′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–64–11
26. 79′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–72–9
27. 79′Saint Etienne have had 10 attempts to 4 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 19–72–9
28. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 19% now
29. 83′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 13–80–6
30. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Nantes · On: Antoine Joujou · Off: Igniatius Ganago
31. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Nantes · On: Mathieu Cafaro · Off: Killian Corredor
32. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Saint Etienne · On: Joshua Duffus · Off: Zuriko Davitashvili
33. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 84' Saint Etienne · On: Mahmoud Jaber · Off: Maxime Bernauer
34. 87′We said Saint Etienne at 59%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–87–4
35. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 9% now
36. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Ryad Hachem · Nantes
37. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Jakob Breum · Saint Etienne
38. 89′We published Saint Etienne at 59%. Our model now makes it 96%. 1–0 · 96–3–0
39. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes
40. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 96% now
41. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Saint Etienne win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 89%)
42. 92′90′: Augustine Boakye on the scoresheet for Saint Etienne, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 98–2–0
43. 94′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+4' Saint Etienne win: 59% at kick-off, 99% now
44. 98′SUBSTITUTION · 90+7' Saint Etienne · On: Nadir El Jamali · Off: Augustine Boakye
45. 99′Full time, 1–0. We called Saint Etienne at 59% — that one lands. 1–0 · 100–0–0
46. 99′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Joshua Duffus · Saint Etienne
47. FTFULL TIME Saint Etienne 1–0 Nantes
48. FTSaint Etienne 1–0 Nantes · Saint Etienne win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.