Reims v Sochaux prediction · Ligue 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ReimsDrawSochaux

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Reims 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Reims are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Reims 50%, draw 26%, Sochaux 24%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Reims v SochauxBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Reims win50%

Draw26%

Sochaux win24%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueStade Auguste-Delaune

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Reims

Sochaux

15Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · the French Ligue 2

Last match: 23 Oct · the French Ligue 2

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Reims	9	+8	17
12	Sochaux	10	−4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · reims winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Reims a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Reims v Sochaux~~1.54 – 0.98

~~Form · last six in Ligue 2 this season · since 29 Aug~~W3 D3 L0 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 11~~4 v 12

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Reims win	50%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Sochaux win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	46%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	71%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	25%	–	–
Reims or draw	76%	–	–
Reims clean sheet	38%	–	–
Sochaux clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.3%

0123450 8.4 7.9 3.9 1 12.3 12.1 5.9 2 9.4 9.1 4.5 3 4.9 4.7 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Reims down, Sochaux across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,852 Ligue 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligue 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.7% of games this season, across 88 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Reims at home: 3.00 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Sochaux away: 0.83 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.54 goals for Reims, 0.98 for Sochaux. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~SOC 2–2 REI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligue 2 this season · since 29 Aug

REIMS

WDWDDW4–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 4–2

SOCHAUX

DWDDLL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Saint Etienne	10	+15	25
2	Nancy	10	+4	19
3	Montpellier	9	+6	18
4	Reims	9	+8	17
5	PAU	10	+3	17
6	RED Star FC 93	9	+2	17
7	Annecy	10	+2	16
8	Metz	10	+2	14
9	Dijon	10	−1	12
10	Dunkerque	10	−2	12
11	Guingamp	10	−2	11
12	Sochaux	10	−4	11
13	Rodez	10	−6	10
14	Boulogne	9	0	9
15	Nantes	10	−6	8
16	Grenoble	10	−8	8
17	Clermont Foot	10	−5	7
18	Laval	10	−8	6