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Nantes v Reims

Nantes
0–0Full time
Reims

Ligue 2 · SAT 10 OCT · Stade de la Beaujoire

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
Nantes 0–0 Reims REIMS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Reims win43%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.850
The market’s Brier score0.801

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Reims win at 43%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Reims 43% before kick-off, 43% now. 0–0 · 32–25–43
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Nantes v Reims
  4. 26′Nantes have had 7.0 attempts to 1.0 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 30–31–40
  5. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Wilitty Younoussa · Nantes
  6. 40′8.0 shots for Nantes, 2.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 28–36–36
  7. 46′HALF-TIME Nantes 0–0 Reims
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Nantes 0–0 Reims
  9. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Reims win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
  10. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Reims win 33%)
  11. 55′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 0–0 · 25–44–31
  12. 58′12.0 shots for Nantes, 3.0 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 24–46–30
  13. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 59' seydou dembele · Reims
  14. 59′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 23–47–29
  15. 61′Goalless on 61′ when we expected about 2.8 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 23–49–28
  16. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Reims · On: Tidiane Diarrassouba · Off: seydou dembele
  17. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Reims · On: Youssef el Kachati · Off: Sambou Soumano
  18. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Nantes · On: Killian Corredor · Off: Igniatius Ganago
  19. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Nantes · On: Dehmaine Tabibou · Off: Wilitty Younoussa
  20. 69′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 19–58–24
  21. 71′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 71' Reims win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
  22. 76′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 18%. 0–0 · 15–68–18
  23. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Nantes · On: Balthazar Pierret · Off: Johann Lepenant
  24. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Nantes · On: Fabien Centonze · Off: Fode Doucoure
  25. 80′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 11–75–14
  26. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Ibrahima Sissoko · Nantes
  27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Reims win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
  28. 84′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 7–84–9
  29. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Nantes · On: Antoine Joujou · Off: Ryad Hachem
  30. 88′We said Reims at 43%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–94–3
  31. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Reims win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
  32. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Chamsedin Kouranfal · Reims
  33. FTFULL TIME Nantes 0–0 Reims
  34. FTNantes 0–0 Reims · Reims win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Nantes win32%
Draw25%
Reims win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

Venue · Stade de la Beaujoire

Referee · Faouzi Benchabane

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-3

30 P. Carlgren

4 S. Sow

5 L. Perrin

98 K. Amian

13 F. Doucoure

8 J. Lepenant

28 I. Sissoko

26 R. Hachem

23 W. Younoussa

27 T. Robinet

37 I. Ganago

Coach · Gregory Poirier

Substitutes

1 · M. Dupe

18 · F. Centonze

24 · F. Guilbert

44 · B. Pierret

17 · D. Tabibou

19 · L. Leroux

7 · A. Joujou

74 · L. Merrifield

12 · K. Corredor

Reims

4-4-2

1 T. Hulsmann

21 J. Mambuku

28 Elie

22 S. Kotto

27 D. Guindo

46 S. Dembele

6 T. Leoni

61 C. Kouranfal

9 M. Daramy

8 Y. Fofana

99 S. Soumano

Coach · Nicolas Usai

Substitutes

12 · E. Omeragic

18 · S. Akieme

76 · J. Celestin

30 · J. Patrick

5 · J. Otomewo

7 · T. Diarrassouba

10 · Y. El Kachati

77 · Q. Paris

19 · A. Gadou

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Nantes

3-4-3

30 P. Carlgren

4 S. Sow

5 L. Perrin

98 K. Amian

13 F. Doucoure

8 J. Lepenant

28 I. Sissoko

26 R. Hachem

23 W. Younoussa

27 T. Robinet

37 I. Ganago

Coach · Gregory Poirier

Substitutes

1 · M. Dupe

18 · F. Centonze

24 · F. Guilbert

44 · B. Pierret

17 · D. Tabibou

19 · L. Leroux

7 · A. Joujou

74 · L. Merrifield

12 · K. Corredor

Reims

4-4-2

1 T. Hulsmann

21 J. Mambuku

28 Elie

22 S. Kotto

27 D. Guindo

46 S. Dembele

6 T. Leoni

61 C. Kouranfal

9 M. Daramy

8 Y. Fofana

99 S. Soumano

Coach · Nicolas Usai

Substitutes

12 · E. Omeragic

18 · S. Akieme

76 · J. Celestin

30 · J. Patrick

5 · J. Otomewo

7 · T. Diarrassouba

10 · Y. El Kachati

77 · Q. Paris

19 · A. Gadou

Our number · reims winPublished 10 Oct 13:12
43% The market28%
Us43%
Market28%

We make Reims a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 15 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 9 OCT 06:1810 OCT 03:56
Our probability · reims win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Nantes win32%44%−12
Draw25%28%−3
Reims win43%28%+15
Over 2.5 goals53%50%+3
Both teams to score56%55%+1
Over 1.5 goals77%74%+3
Over 3.5 goals31%30%+1
Nantes or draw57%72%−15
Nantes clean sheet22%––
Reims clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.7%
0123450 6.3 9.2 7.1 3.7 1 7.7 11.7 8.8 4.6 2 4.9 7.4 5.6 2.9 3 2.1 3.2 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Nantes down, Reims across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Ligue 2

NANTES

LLDWLW1–2 · 2–5 · 3–3 · 1–0 · 0–1 · 2–1

REIMS

DWWDWD3–3 · 3–1 · 4–1 · 2–2 · 2–1 · 1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Saint Etienne7+1116
2Montpellier8+315
3RED Star FC 937+214
4Reims7+613
5Nancy8+213
6Annecy8+113
7PAU8+111
8Sochaux8−111
9Metz7+310
10Dijon709
11Dunkerque8−38
12Guingamp8−38
13Grenoble8−58
14Rodez7−27
15Nantes7−47
16Boulogne8−26
17Clermont Foot7−26
18Laval8−75

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.