Laval v Clermont Foot

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Laval win at 39%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Laval v Clermont Foot
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Laval was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 39–28–32
4. 25′We said Laval at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–1 · 13–23–64
5. 25′⚽ GOAL · 25' Laval 0–1 Clermont Foot
6. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Laval win: 39% at kick-off, 13% now
7. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Clermont Foot win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was Laval win 13%)
8. 27′Clermont Foot ahead on 25′ through Christ Okou. 0–1. 0–1 · 12–23–64
9. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.3 we expected. 0–1 · 12–23–65
10. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Ivan M'Bahia · Clermont Foot
11. 38′We said Laval at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 2%. 0–2 · 2–8–90
12. 38′⚽ GOAL · 38' Laval 0–2 Clermont Foot
13. 38′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 38' Laval win: 39% at kick-off, 2% now
14. 39′Florian Bianchini scores for Clermont Foot on 38′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–90
15. 45′SECOND HALF Laval 0–2 Clermont Foot
16. 46′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–1–99
17. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Laval 0–3 Clermont Foot
18. 48′47′: Jules Gaudin puts it into the Laval net, and it is 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
19. 48′46′: Jules Gaudin puts it into the Laval net, and it is 0–3. 0–3 · 0–1–99
20. 48′HALF-TIME Laval 0–2 Clermont Foot
21. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Laval · On: Ethan Clavreul · Off: Ababacar Moustapha Lo
22. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Laval · On: Aboubakary Kante · Off: Trevis Dago
23. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Laval · On: Alessio Beaudouin · Off: Sam Sanna
24. 72′4 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 0–2–98
25. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' Laval 1–3 Clermont Foot
26. 74′Laval pull one back on 72′ through Aboubakary Kante. 1–3. 1–3 · 0–2–98
27. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Laval · On: Amine Moussaoui · Off: Teddy Bouriaud
28. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Clermont Foot · On: Salomon Sambia · Off: Enzo Cantero
29. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Clermont Foot · On: Jean-William Nyindong Tsamouna · Off: Christ Okou
30. 81′Laval have had 12 attempts to 7 and it is still 1–3. 1–3 · 0–1–99
31. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Clermont Foot · On: Ethan Kena Kabeya · Off: Ivan M'Bahia
32. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Laval · On: Mohamed Souaré · Off: William Bianda
33. 90′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.3 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–4–96
34. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Laval 2–3 Clermont Foot
35. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Clermont Foot · On: Ousmane Diop · Off: Florian Bianchini
36. 91′6 goals already, more than the 2.3 we expected for the whole match. 3–3 · 3–94–3
37. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Laval 3–3 Clermont Foot
38. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Draw is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Clermont Foot win 3%)
39. 92′90′: Sidi Bane on the scoresheet for Laval. 3–3 · 3–95–2
40. 93′90′: Aboubakary Kante on the scoresheet for Laval, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 2–96–2
41. 93′Laval have had 16 attempts to 7 and it is still 3–3. 3–3 · 2–96–2
42. 95′Full time, 3–3. We called Laval at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 3–3 · 0–100–0
43. 95′SUBSTITUTION · 90+2' Clermont Foot · On: Jean Grillot · Off: Allan Ackra Corrected
44. FTFULL TIME Laval 3–3 Clermont Foot
45. FTLaval 3–3 Clermont Foot · Laval win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.