Guingamp v PAU

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Guingamp win at 49%.
2. 0′KICK-OFF Guingamp v PAU
3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Guingamp 49% before kick-off, 49% now. 0–0 · 49–24–27
4. 5′We said Guingamp at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 26%. 0–1 · 26–23–52
5. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Guingamp 0–1 PAU
6. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 5' Guingamp win: 49% at kick-off, 26% now
7. 5′THE CALL SWINGS · 5' PAU win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Guingamp win 26%)
8. 6′PAU score on 5′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–23–52
9. 6′6′: Cheikh Fall on the scoresheet for PAU, making it 0–1. 0–1 · 26–23–52
10. 11′We said Guingamp at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–23–52
11. 14′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Anthony Briançon · PAU
12. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' Gaëtan Paquiez · PAU
13. 29′We said Guingamp at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–25–56
14. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Guingamp win: 49% at kick-off, 19% now
15. 31′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 19–25–57
16. 33′We said Guingamp at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–82
17. 33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Guingamp 0–2 PAU
18. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' Guingamp win: 49% at kick-off, 6% now
19. 34′PAU ahead on 33′ through Bilal Brahimi. 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–82
20. 41′We said Guingamp at 49%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
21. 45′SECOND HALF Guingamp 0–2 PAU
22. 47′10 shots for Guingamp, 5 the other way, and they still trail 0–2. 0–2 · 4–10–86
23. 47′HALF-TIME Guingamp 0–2 PAU
24. 48′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Guingamp · On: Brandon Bokangu · Off: Tanguy Ahile
25. 49′SUBSTITUTION · 45' PAU · On: Rony Ulrich Jordan·Mimb Baheng · Off: Anthony Briançon
26. 54′12 shots for Guingamp, 5 the other way, and they still trail 0–2. 0–2 · 2–8–89
27. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Guingamp · On: Florent Sanchez Da Silva · Off: Tom Ducrocq
28. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Guingamp · On: Amadou Samoura · Off: Tuomas Ollila
29. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' PAU · On: Jeremy Sebas · Off: Bilal Brahimi
30. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Jeremy Sebas · PAU
31. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' PAU · On: Luan Gadegbeku · Off: Hacene Benali
32. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Guingamp · On: Dylan Louiserre · Off: Stanislas Kielt
33. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Nathan Fondja · Guingamp
34. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Guingamp · On: Ibrahim Fomba · Off: Nathan Fondja
35. 75′⚽ GOAL · 75' Guingamp 1–2 PAU
36. 76′Teddy Andami Averlant scores for Guingamp on 75′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 3–18–80
37. 80′16 shots for Guingamp, 7 the other way, and they still trail 1–2. 1–2 · 1–14–84
38. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' PAU · On: Abdoulaye Mbaye · Off: Babacar Leye
39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 80' PAU · On: Abdel Hakim Abdallah · Off: Tom Pouilly
40. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Jeovanni Dianganga · Guingamp
41. 95′1–2 at the end. Our 49% on Guingamp misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
42. FTFULL TIME Guingamp 1–2 PAU
43. FTGuingamp 1–2 PAU · Guingamp win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.