Dijon v Rodez

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Dijon win at 43%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Dijon was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
3. 1′KICK-OFF Dijon v Rodez
4. 3′Rodez find the net on 2′. 0–0 · 42–24–33
5. 3′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 0–1 · 22–21–58
6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 2' Dijon 0–1 Rodez
7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 22% now
8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Rodez win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Dijon win 42%)
9. 14′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
10. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Dijon 1–1 Rodez
11. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 39% now
12. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Dijon win is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Rodez win 60%)
13. 28′Dijon level it on 23′ through Yanis Barka. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–30–31
14. 41′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Raphael Lipinski · Rodez
15. 45′HALF-TIME Dijon 1–1 Rodez
16. 45′SECOND HALF Dijon 1–1 Rodez
17. 47′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–1 · 34–37–28
18. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
19. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Dijon win 36%)
20. 56′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 31–43–26
21. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Boubacar Diallo · Dijon
22. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Dijon · On: Moussa Faty · Off: Boubacar Diallo
23. 58′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Dijon · On: Paul Bellon · Off: Jordan Marié
24. 60′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–46–25
25. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Rodez · On: Mathis Saka · Off: Octave Joly
26. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Rodez · On: Kenny Nagera · Off: Kelian Nsona
27. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Dijon · On: Alexis Ntamack · Off: Yanis Barka
28. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 23% now
29. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Rodez · On: Jordan Mendes · Off: Damjan Pavlović
30. 80′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–73–12
31. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Rodez · On: Marco Essimi · Off: Nachon Nsingi
32. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Rodez · On: Corentin Issanchou Roubiou · Off: Steven Luyambula Biwa
33. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 13% now
34. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Dijon · On: Hugo Vargas Ríos · Off: Samy Chouchane
35. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Dijon · On: Júlio Tavares · Off: Ange Lago
36. 84′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–82–8
37. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 88' Ryan Ponti · Rodez
38. 91′We said Dijon at 43%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
39. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Dijon win: 43% at kick-off, 3% now
40. 93′Marco Essimi scores for Rodez on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–3–97
41. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Dijon 1–2 Rodez
42. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Rodez win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 93%)
43. FTFULL TIME Dijon 1–2 Rodez
44. FTDijon 1–2 Rodez · Dijon win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.