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Annecy v Nancy

Annecy
1–2Full time
Nancy

Ligue 2 · FRI 16 OCT · Parc des Sports d’Annecy

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:30
Annecy 1–2 Nancy ANNECY WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Annecy win52%
The market said30%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.922
The market’s Brier score0.516

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 28 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Annecy win at 52%.
  2. 0′KICK-OFF Annecy v Nancy
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Annecy 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
  4. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  5. 41′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  6. 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 15–27–58
  7. 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Annecy 0–1 Nancy
  8. 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
  9. 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Nancy win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Annecy win 15%)
  10. 42′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  11. 42′Nancy ahead on 41′ through Ilyes Housni. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–27–59
  12. 45′SECOND HALF Annecy 0–1 Nancy
  13. 46′HALF-TIME Annecy 0–1 Nancy
  14. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
  15. 56′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
  16. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Nordine Kandil · Nancy
  17. 59′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–49–18
  18. 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Annecy 1–1 Nancy
  19. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 33% now
  20. 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Nancy win 18%)
  21. 60′Moïse Sahi scores for Annecy on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–50–18
  22. 65′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–55–16
  23. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Kilyan Veniere · Off: Thibault Rambaud
  24. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Alexis Casadei · Off: Paul Venot
  25. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Souleymane Fofana · Off: Clement Billemaz
  26. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Nancy · On: Chafik El Hansar · Off: Jeremy Gelin
  27. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Nancy · On: Pape Meissa Ba · Off: Zakaria Fdaouch
  28. 71′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
  29. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
  30. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Annecy · On: Pascal Mozie · Off: Moïse Sahi
  31. 76′Nancy have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 19–69–11
  32. 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Chafik El Hansar · Nancy
  33. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Nancy · On: Ibrahim cisse · Off: Nordine Kandil
  34. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
  35. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Annecy · On: Adam Yahi · Off: Antoine Larose
  36. 88′12 shots for Nancy, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 7–89–4
  37. 89′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–6–94
  38. 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Annecy 1–2 Nancy
  39. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, under 1% now
  40. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Nancy win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
  41. 90′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  42. 91′90′: Alexis Casadei puts it into the Annecy net, and it is 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
  43. 91′89′: Alexis Casadei puts it into the Annecy net, and it is 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
  44. 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Nancy · On: Mamadou Fofana · Off: El Hadari Raheriniaina
  45. 95′1–2 at the end. Our 52% on Annecy misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
  46. FTFULL TIME Annecy 1–2 Nancy
  47. FTAnnecy 1–2 Nancy · Annecy win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Annecy are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Annecy 52%, draw 25%, Nancy 23%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Annecy v NancyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Annecy win52%
Draw25%
Nancy win23%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueParc des Sports d’Annecy

RefereeAzzedine Souifi

Line-ups

Annecy

4-2-3-1

Nancy

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Annecy

Nancy

7Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · the French Ligue 2

Last match: 9 Oct · the French Ligue 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Nancy8+213
6Annecy8+113

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Annecy

4-2-3-1

1 F. Escales

41 T. Delphis

23 M. Veillon

26 J. Do Marcolino

27 J. Kouadio

14 M. Kone

25 P. Venot

28 A. Larose

80 M. Dion

22 C. Billemaz

9 T. Rambaud

Coach · Laurent Guyot

Substitutes

16 · T. Callens

21 · E. Marre

33 · G. Secretant

15 · P. Mozie

19 · K. Jusseron-Veniere

8 · A. Casadei

11 · S. Fofana

20 · A. Yahi

Nancy

4-2-3-1

1 E. Basilio

4 N. Fernandez

77 Y. Nahounou

21 E. Mendy

44 E. Tacafred

25 J. Gelin

8 W. Bouabdelli

70 N. Kandil

12 E. H. Raheriniaina

7 Z. Fdaouch

9 I. Housni

Coach · Oswald Tanchot

Substitutes

30 · G. Lembet

22 · L. Ndenbe

14 · N. Saint-Ruf

2 · H. Tavares

17 · M. Fofana

45 · C. El Hansar

11 · S. Cisse

5 · P. M. Ba

29 · N. Obougou

Our number · annecy winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
52% The market30%
Us52%
Market30%

We make Annecy a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 22 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Annecy v Nancy1.61 – 0.98
Form · last six in Ligue 2 this season · since 21 AugW2 D1 L3 · W4 D0 L2
Table places · points 13 v 136 v 5
The market · Annecy win30% · ours 52%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%30%40%50%60% 10 OCT 03:5616 OCT 18:38
Our probability · Annecy win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 35% to 30% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Annecy win52%30%+22
Draw25%28%−3
Nancy win23%41%−18
Over 2.5 goals48%48%0
Both teams to score50%53%−3
Over 1.5 goals73%71%+2
Over 3.5 goals26%28%−2
Annecy or draw77%59%+18
Annecy clean sheet38%––
Nancy clean sheet20%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.0%
0123450 7.8 7.3 3.7 1 12.0 11.9 5.8 2 9.6 9.3 4.6 3 5.2 5.0 2.5 4 2.1 2.1 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Annecy down, Nancy across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.50
Over 2.52 of 2
Both scored2 of 2
Last meetingsNAN 1–5 ANN · ANN 1–2 NAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligue 2 this season · since 21 Aug

ANNECY

LDWLLW1–3 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 1–0

NANCY

WWLLWW1–0 · 2–0 · 0–1 · 1–2 · 4–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Saint Etienne8+1319
2RED Star FC 938+317
3Montpellier8+315
4Reims8+614
5Nancy8+213
6Annecy8+113
7Dijon8+212
8PAU8+111
9Sochaux8−111
10Metz8+110
11Guingamp8−38
12Dunkerque8−38
13Nantes8−48
14Grenoble8−58
15Rodez8−47
16Boulogne8−26
17Clermont Foot8−36
18Laval8−75

The competition's standings before kick-off.