

Annecy v Nancy
Annecy
NancyLigue 2 · FRI 16 OCT · Parc des Sports d’Annecy
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Annecy win at 52%.
- 0′KICK-OFF Annecy v Nancy
- 2′Little has changed for our model: Annecy 52% before kick-off, 52% now. 0–0 · 52–25–23
- 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
- 41′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 15%. 0–1 · 15–27–58
- 41′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 15–27–58
- 41′⚽ GOAL · 41' Annecy 0–1 Nancy
- 41′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 41' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
- 41′THE CALL SWINGS · 41' Nancy win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Annecy win 15%)
- 42′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–27–59
- 42′Nancy ahead on 41′ through Ilyes Housni. 0–1. 0–1 · 14–27–59
- 45′SECOND HALF Annecy 0–1 Nancy
- 46′HALF-TIME Annecy 0–1 Nancy
- 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 56′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–26–65
- 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Nordine Kandil · Nancy
- 59′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–49–18
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 59' Annecy 1–1 Nancy
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 33% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Nancy win 18%)
- 60′Moïse Sahi scores for Annecy on 59′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 32–50–18
- 65′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–55–16
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Kilyan Veniere · Off: Thibault Rambaud
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Alexis Casadei · Off: Paul Venot
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Annecy · On: Souleymane Fofana · Off: Clement Billemaz
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Nancy · On: Chafik El Hansar · Off: Jeremy Gelin
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Nancy · On: Pape Meissa Ba · Off: Zakaria Fdaouch
- 71′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Annecy · On: Pascal Mozie · Off: Moïse Sahi
- 76′Nancy have had 11 attempts to 6 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 19–69–11
- 77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Chafik El Hansar · Nancy
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Nancy · On: Ibrahim cisse · Off: Nordine Kandil
- 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
- 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Annecy · On: Adam Yahi · Off: Antoine Larose
- 88′12 shots for Nancy, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 7–89–4
- 89′We said Annecy at 52%. On the run of the match our model now has it at under 1%. 1–2 · 0–6–94
- 89′⚽ GOAL · 89' Annecy 1–2 Nancy
- 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Annecy win: 52% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' Nancy win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 6%)
- 90′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 0–5–95
- 91′90′: Alexis Casadei puts it into the Annecy net, and it is 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
- 91′89′: Alexis Casadei puts it into the Annecy net, and it is 1–2. 1–2 · 0–4–96
- 94′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Nancy · On: Mamadou Fofana · Off: El Hadari Raheriniaina
- 95′1–2 at the end. Our 52% on Annecy misses, and the record keeps it. 1–2 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Annecy 1–2 Nancy
- FTAnnecy 1–2 Nancy · Annecy win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassAnnecy are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Annecy 52%, draw 25%, Nancy 23%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
Annecy win52%
Nancy win23%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 9
VenueParc des Sports d’Annecy
RefereeAzzedine Souifi
Match timeline
All events
AnnecyMIN
NancyEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Annecy
4-2-3-1
Nancy
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Annecy
Nancy
Last match: 9 Oct · the French Ligue 2
Last match: 9 Oct · the French Ligue 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Annecy
4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales
41 T. Delphis
23 M. Veillon
26 J. Do Marcolino
27 J. Kouadio
14 M. Kone
25 P. Venot
28 A. Larose
80 M. Dion
22 C. Billemaz
9 T. Rambaud
Coach · Laurent Guyot
Substitutes
16 · T. Callens
21 · E. Marre
33 · G. Secretant
15 · P. Mozie
19 · K. Jusseron-Veniere
8 · A. Casadei
11 · S. Fofana
20 · A. Yahi
Nancy
4-2-3-1
1 E. Basilio
4 N. Fernandez
77 Y. Nahounou
21 E. Mendy
44 E. Tacafred
25 J. Gelin
8 W. Bouabdelli
70 N. Kandil
12 E. H. Raheriniaina
7 Z. Fdaouch
9 I. Housni
Coach · Oswald Tanchot
Substitutes
30 · G. Lembet
22 · L. Ndenbe
14 · N. Saint-Ruf
2 · H. Tavares
17 · M. Fofana
45 · C. El Hansar
11 · S. Cisse
5 · P. M. Ba
29 · N. Obougou
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Annecy
4-2-3-1
1 F. Escales
41 T. Delphis
23 M. Veillon
26 J. Do Marcolino
27 J. Kouadio
14 M. Kone
25 P. Venot
28 A. Larose
80 M. Dion
22 C. Billemaz
9 T. Rambaud
Coach · Laurent Guyot
Substitutes
16 · T. Callens
21 · E. Marre
33 · G. Secretant
15 · P. Mozie
19 · K. Jusseron-Veniere
8 · A. Casadei
11 · S. Fofana
20 · A. Yahi
Nancy
4-2-3-1
1 E. Basilio
4 N. Fernandez
77 Y. Nahounou
21 E. Mendy
44 E. Tacafred
25 J. Gelin
8 W. Bouabdelli
70 N. Kandil
12 E. H. Raheriniaina
7 Z. Fdaouch
9 I. Housni
Coach · Oswald Tanchot
Substitutes
30 · G. Lembet
22 · L. Ndenbe
14 · N. Saint-Ruf
2 · H. Tavares
17 · M. Fofana
45 · C. El Hansar
11 · S. Cisse
5 · P. M. Ba
29 · N. Obougou
We make Annecy a 52% chance to win. The market has them at 30%. We are 22 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 35% to 30% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Annecy win | 52% | 30% | +22 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Nancy win | 23% | 41% | −18 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 48% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% | 71% | +2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 28% | −2 |
| Annecy or draw | 77% | 59% | +18 |
| Annecy clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Nancy clean sheet | 20% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligue 2 this season · since 21 Aug
ANNECY
NANCY
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Saint Etienne | 8 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | RED Star FC 93 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 3 | Montpellier | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 4 | Reims | 8 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Nancy | 8 | +2 | 13 |
| 6 | Annecy | 8 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 | Dijon | 8 | +2 | 12 |
| 8 | PAU | 8 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Sochaux | 8 | −1 | 11 |
| 10 | Metz | 8 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 8 | −3 | 8 |
| 12 | Dunkerque | 8 | −3 | 8 |
| 13 | Nantes | 8 | −4 | 8 |
| 14 | Grenoble | 8 | −5 | 8 |
| 15 | Rodez | 8 | −4 | 7 |
| 16 | Boulogne | 8 | −2 | 6 |
| 17 | Clermont Foot | 8 | −3 | 6 |
| 18 | Laval | 8 | −7 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Saint Etienne
RED Star FC 93
Montpellier
Reims
Dijon
PAU
Sochaux
Metz
Guingamp
Dunkerque
Nantes
Grenoble
Rodez
Boulogne
Clermont Foot
Laval