Rennes v Strasbourg
RennesStrasbourgLigue 1 · SUN 25 OCT · Roazhon Park
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Rennes are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Rennes 48%, draw 23%, Strasbourg 29%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 65%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Rennes win48%Strasbourg win29%Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 16:15
RoundMatchday 8
VenueRoazhon Park
RefereeRuddy Buquet
Match timeline
All events
RennesMINStrasbourgEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Rennes
Strasbourg
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Last match: 17 Oct · the French Ligue 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | −3 | 7 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Rennes a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 53% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rennes win | 48% | 53% | −5 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | 0 |
| Strasbourg win | 29% | 24% | +5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 66% | −1 |
| Both teams to score | 65% | 65% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 84% | +1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 46% | −3 |
| Rennes or draw | 71% | 76% | −5 |
| Rennes clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Strasbourg clean sheet | 15% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 29 Aug
RENNES
STRASBOURG
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 |  Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | −6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | −11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.