Paris Saint Germain v Lyon
Paris Saint GermainLyonLigue 1 · MON 26 OCT · Parc des Princes
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Paris Saint Germain are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Paris Saint Germain 61%, draw 20%, Lyon 18%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 60%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off
Paris Saint Germain win61%Lyon win18%Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 19:30
RoundMatchday 8
VenueParc des Princes
RefereeJerome Brisard
Match timeline
All events
Paris Saint GermainMINLyonEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Paris Saint Germain
Lyon
Last match: 20 Oct · UEFA Champions League
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
Ligue 1 clash between PSG and Lyon postponed, running parallel to Ballon d’Or ceremonyGet French Football News · · Paris Saint Germain, Lyon Ligue 1 Predictions | Round 8: PSG host Lyon, Davide Ancelotti’s Lille travel to MonacoGet French Football News · · Paris Saint Germain, Lyon, Lille, Monaco Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Paris Saint Germain a 61% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain win | 61% | 66% | −5 |
| Draw | 20% | 19% | +1 |
| Lyon win | 18% | 15% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | 68% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 60% | 61% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% | 85% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 48% | −5 |
| Paris Saint Germain or draw | 82% | 85% | −3 |
| Paris Saint Germain clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
| Lyon clean sheet | 11% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 28 Aug
PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
LYON
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Paris FC | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Lille | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 7 |  Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 8 |  Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Lens | 7 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | −6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | −11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.