Paris FC v Rennes

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Paris FC win at 38%.
2. 2′Little has changed for our model: Paris FC 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–26–36
3. 2′KICK-OFF Paris FC v Rennes
4. 14′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 65%. 1–0 · 65–20–16
5. 14′⚽ GOAL · 14' Paris FC 1–0 Rennes
6. 14′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 14' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 65% now
7. 15′Paris FC find the net on 14′. 1–0. 1–0 · 65–20–15
8. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 23' Przemysław Frankowski · Rennes
9. 29′8 shots for Paris FC, 2 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 35–31–34
10. 29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Paris FC 1–1 Rennes
11. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 29' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 35% now
12. 30′Esteban Lepaul scores for Rennes on 29′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 35–31–34
13. 33′🟨 YELLOW · 32' Djaoui Cissé · Rennes
14. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Adrien Thomasson · Rennes
15. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Anthony Rouault · Rennes
16. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' Samir Chergui · Paris FC
17. 44′THE CALL SWINGS · 44' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was Paris FC win 32%)
18. 45′SECOND HALF Paris FC 2–1 Rennes
19. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rennes · On: Valentin Rongier · Off: Adrien Thomasson
20. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rennes · On: Mousa Al-Tamari · Off: Ludovic Blas
21. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rennes · On: Mahamadou Nagida · Off: Przemysław Frankowski
22. 47′12 shots for Paris FC, 5 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 32–38–30
23. 48′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 70%. 2–1 · 70–21–9
24. 48′3 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 70–21–9
25. 48′45′: Maxime López on the scoresheet for Paris FC, making it 2–1. 2–1 · 70–21–9
26. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Paris FC 2–1 Rennes
27. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 70% now
28. 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' Paris FC win is now our likeliest result at 70% (was Draw 21%)
29. 49′HALF-TIME Paris FC 2–1 Rennes
30. 50′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 31–40–30
31. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Paris FC 2–2 Rennes
32. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 31% now
33. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was Paris FC win 31%)
34. 51′Rennes level it on 51′ through Sebastian Szymański. 2–2. 2–2 · 30–40–29
35. 55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Rennes
36. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 55' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 72% now
37. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Paris FC win is now our likeliest result at 72% (was Draw 21%)
38. 62′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 2–1 · 75–20–5
39. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Rennes · On: Mahdi Camara · Off: Djaoui Cissé
40. 68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Ilan Kebbal · Paris FC
41. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 78% now
42. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Paris FC · On: Rudy Matondo · Off: Pablo Pagis
43. 71′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 2–1 · 80–17–3
44. 74′We said Paris FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–63–18
45. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Paris FC 2–2 Rennes
46. 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 19% now
47. 74′THE CALL SWINGS · 74' Draw is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Paris FC win 19%)
48. 75′16 shots for Paris FC, 7 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 2–2 · 18–65–17
49. 75′Rennes level it on 74′ through Esteban Lepaul. 2–2. 2–2 · 18–65–17
50. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
51. 76′5 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 3–2 · 83–15–2
52. 76′⚽ GOAL · 76' Paris FC 3–2 Rennes
53. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 83% now
54. 76′THE CALL SWINGS · 76' Paris FC win is now our likeliest result at 83% (was Draw 15%)
55. 77′Lassine Sinayoko scores for Paris FC on 76′ — 3–2. 3–2 · 84–14–2
56. 78′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 3–2 · 85–13–1
57. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Paris FC · On: Otavio · Off: Hamari Traore
58. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Paris FC · On: Moses Simon · Off: Ilan Kebbal
59. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Rennes · On: Boulaye Dia · Off: Issa Soumaré
60. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 88% now
61. 83′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
62. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Paris FC · On: Moustapha Mbow · Off: Luca Koleosho
63. 87′We said Paris FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 7%. 3–3 · 7–87–7
64. 87′That is 6, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 3–3 · 7–87–7
65. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Paris FC · On: Emmanuel Mbemba · Off: Samir Chergui
66. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Paris FC 3–3 Rennes
67. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 7% now
68. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' Draw is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Paris FC win 7%)
69. 88′88′: Esteban Lepaul on the scoresheet for Rennes, making it 3–3. 3–3 · 6–88–6
70. 91′We said Paris FC at 38%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 3–3 · 4–92–4
71. 96′We said Paris FC at 38% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 4–3 · 98–2–0
72. 96′7 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 4–3 · 98–2–0
73. 96′⚽ GOAL · 90+6' Paris FC 4–3 Rennes
74. 96′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+6' Paris FC win: 38% at kick-off, 98% now
75. 96′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+6' Paris FC win is now our likeliest result at 98% (was Draw 2%)
76. 96′🟨 YELLOW · 90+5' Hamari Traore · Paris FC
77. 97′Paris FC ahead on 90′ through Lassine Sinayoko. 4–3. 4–3 · 98–2–0
78. FTFULL TIME Paris FC 4–3 Rennes
79. FTParis FC 4–3 Rennes · Paris FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.