Nice v Rennes
NiceRennesLigue 1 · SAT 31 OCT · Allianz Riviera
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Nice just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Nice 39%, draw 26%, Rennes 36%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
Nice win39%Rennes win36%Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:15
RoundMatchday 9
VenueAllianz Riviera
Match timeline
All events
NiceMINRennesEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Nice
Rennes
Last match: 23 Oct · the French Ligue 1
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Nice a 39% chance to win. The market has them at 35%. We are 4 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 35% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice win | 39% | 35% | +4 |
| Draw | 26% | 25% | +1 |
| Rennes win | 36% | 40% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 62% | −6 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 64% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 81% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 41% | −7 |
| Nice or draw | 64% | 60% | +4 |
| Nice clean sheet | 24% | – | – |
| Rennes clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 30 Aug
NICE
RENNES
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 |  Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 |  Lille | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 |  Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 |  Monaco | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 |  Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 |  Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 10 |  Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 |  Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 7 | −6 | 9 |
| 14 |  Strasbourg | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 |  Angers | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 16 |  Le Mans | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 |  Estac Troyes | 7 | −11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 7 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.