

Lyon v Angers
Lyon
AngersLigue 1 · SAT 31 OCT · Groupama Stadium
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Lyon are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Lyon 64%, draw 21%, Angers 15%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off
Lyon win64%
Angers win15%Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 19:45
RoundMatchday 9
VenueGroupama Stadium
Match timeline
All events
LyonMIN
AngersEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Lyon
Angers
Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa League
Last match: 18 Oct · the French Ligue 1
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Lyon a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.1–0.9.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon win | 64% | 68% | −4 |
| Draw | 21% | 19% | +2 |
| Angers win | 15% | 13% | +2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 61% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 53% | −2 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% | 39% | −5 |
| Lyon or draw | 85% | 87% | −2 |
| Lyon clean sheet | 42% | – | – |
| Angers clean sheet | 13% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Ligue 1 this season · since 29 Aug
LYON
ANGERS
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lyon | 7 | +8 | 14 |
| 2 | Paris Saint Germain | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 3 | Lille | 7 | +5 | 14 |
| 4 | Paris FC | 8 | +4 | 14 |
| 5 | Monaco | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Lens | 8 | +4 | 13 |
| 7 | Rennes | 7 | +1 | 13 |
| 8 | Lorient | 7 | +1 | 11 |
| 9 | Nice | 8 | −2 | 11 |
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | +2 | 9 |
| 12 | Toulouse | 7 | +1 | 9 |
| 13 | Auxerre | 7 | −6 | 9 |
| 14 | Strasbourg | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 15 | Angers | 7 | −6 | 7 |
| 16 | Le Mans | 7 | −5 | 6 |
| 17 | Estac Troyes | 7 | −11 | 4 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 7 | −6 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.

Paris Saint Germain
Lille
Paris FC
Monaco
Lens
Rennes
Lorient
Nice
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Auxerre
Strasbourg
Le Mans
Estac Troyes
Le Havre