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Toulouse W v Paris FC W

Toulouse W
0–4Full time
Paris FC W

Feminine Division 1 · SAT 17 OCT · Stade de la Ramée

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 19:40
Toulouse W 0–4 Paris FC W PARIS FC W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Paris FC W win73%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.107

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay17 notes · 25 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Paris FC W win at 73%.
  2. 4′Little has changed for our model: Paris FC W 73% before kick-off, 73% now. 0–0 · 12–15–73
  3. 4′KICK-OFF Toulouse W v Paris FC W
  4. 17′Paris FC W have had 7 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–0. 0–0 · 13–18–69
  5. 21′🟨 YELLOW · 20' Roma Grinfan · Toulouse W
  6. 24′Océane Celia Picard scores for Paris FC W on 21′. 0–0 · 13–20–67
  7. 24′8 shots for Paris FC W, 1 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 0–0 · 13–20–67
  8. 26′We said Paris FC W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 4–9–87
  9. 26′⚽ GOAL · 21' Toulouse W 0–1 Paris FC W · Océane Celia Picard
  10. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Paris FC W win: 73% at kick-off, 87% now
  11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 0–1 · 4–10–87
  12. 45′41′: Clara Mateo on the scoresheet for Paris FC W. 0–1 · 3–11–87
  13. 45′Clara Mateo scores for Paris FC W on 41′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  14. 45′We said Paris FC W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  15. 45′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  16. 45′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Lou Jumere Seignou · Toulouse W
  17. 45′HALF-TIME Toulouse W 0–2 Paris FC W
  18. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Paris FC W · On: Sheika Scott · Off: Clara Mateo
  19. 46′SECOND HALF Toulouse W 0–2 Paris FC W
  20. 52′Clara Mateo scores for Paris FC W on 41′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  21. 52′We said Paris FC W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 97%. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  22. 52′The goal count is tracking the 3.8 we expected. 0–2 · 0–2–97
  23. 52′⚽ GOAL · 41' Toulouse W 0–2 Paris FC W · Clara Mateo (assist Evelyne Viens)
  24. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45+7' Paris FC W win: 73% at kick-off, 97% now
  25. 52′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Paris FC W · On: Fiona Maëva Liaigre · Off: Manoly José Baquerizo Córdova
  26. 56′Evelyne Viens scores for Paris FC W on 64′. 0–2 · 0–2–98
  27. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Toulouse W · On: Anna Conesa · Off: Selen Altunkulak
  28. 56′SUBSTITUTION · 64' Paris FC W · On: Maeline Mendy · Off: Anaële Le Moguédec Corrected
  29. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Toulouse W · On: Tatiana Solanet · Off: Roma Grinfan
  30. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Toulouse W · On: M Bironien · Off: Chloé Marty
  31. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Paris FC W · On: Hillary Diaz · Off: Céline Ould Hocine
  32. 67′We said Paris FC W at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  33. 67′⚽ GOAL · 64' Toulouse W 0–3 Paris FC W · Evelyne Viens (assist Maeline Mendy)
  34. 70′78′: Karla Dayana Torres García on the scoresheet for Paris FC W. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  35. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Paris FC W · On: Karla Dayana Torres García · Off: Evelyne Viens
  36. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Chloé Tapia · Toulouse W
  37. 76′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.8 across ninety minutes. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  38. 76′⚽ GOAL · 78' Toulouse W 0–4 Paris FC W · Karla Dayana Torres García (penalty)
  39. 76′🟨 YELLOW · 84' Hillary Diaz · Paris FC W
  40. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Toulouse W · On: Ludivine Bardet · Off: Julie Machart-Rabanne
  41. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 90+3' Toulouse W · On: Pauline Pardon · Off: Chloé Tapia Corrected
  42. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Toulouse W · On: Pauline Pardon · Off: Chloé Tapia
  43. FTFULL TIME Toulouse W 0–4 Paris FC W
  44. FTToulouse W 0–4 Paris FC W · Paris FC W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Paris FC W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Toulouse W 12%, draw 15%, Paris FC W 73%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 56%.

The AI’s read on Toulouse W v Paris FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Toulouse W win12%
Draw15%
Paris FC W win73%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 5

VenueStade de la Ramée

Line-ups

Toulouse W

5-4-1

Paris FC W

4-3-3

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Toulouse W

Paris FC W

14Days since last match14

Last match: 3 Oct · Feminine Division 1

Last match: 3 Oct · Feminine Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Paris FC W4+19
12Toulouse W4−101

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Toulouse W

5-4-1

81 Alyssa Fernandes

11 Julie Machart-Rabanne

5 M. Diakité

4 L. Jumere

3 Azzurra Gallo

15 C. Tapia

23 C. Marty

24 R. Grinfan

17 A. Atamaniuk

6 S. Altunkulak

20 L. Gay

Coach · –

Substitutes

8 · T. Solanet

2 · L. Bardet

34 · F. Bogi

18 · A. Conesa

99 · G. Güleryüz

21 · M. Bironien

14 · P. Pardon

Paris FC W

4-3-3

22 K. Seweryn

18 M. N'Dongala

2 C. Ould Hocine

19 T. Greboval

3 M. Baquerizo

21 O. Picard

24 A. Le Moguédec

4 K. Korošec

7 Mariam Toloba

14 É. Viens

10 C. Matéo

Coach · S. Soubeyrand

Substitutes

5 · H. Diaz

23 · S. Ishizaka

26 · Fiona Maëva Liaigre

27 · Maeline Mendy

30 · R. Mendonca

31 · Kenza Dufour

15 · H. Sangaré

11 · S. Scott

25 · Karla Dayana Torres García

Our number · paris fc w winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Paris FC W a 73% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–2.8, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Toulouse W v Paris FC W0.97 – 2.83
Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 SeptW0 D1 L3 · W3 D0 L1
Table places · points 1 v 912 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Toulouse W win12%––
Draw15%––
Paris FC W win73%––
Over 2.5 goals71%––
Both teams to score56%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals51%––
Toulouse W or draw27%––
Toulouse W clean sheet7%––
Paris FC W clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 8.8%
0123450 2.8 6.8 8.8 7.9 5.7 3.41 2.6 6.5 8.2 7.2 5.0 2.92 3.3 4.1 3.6 2.4 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Toulouse W down, Paris FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (91.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 Sept

TOULOUSE W

LLDL1–5 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–5

PARIS FC W

WLWW2–0 · 1–7 · 2–0 · 4–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Lyon W4+2412
2Paris Saint Germain W4+712
3Paris FC W4+19
4Marseille W4+28
5Le Havre W4−56
6Montpellier W4+35
7Strasbourg W4−34
8FC Fleury 91 W4−64
9Saint-Malo W4−43
10Nantes W4−32
11Lens W4−61
12Toulouse W4−101

The competition's standings before kick-off.