Saint-Malo W v Paris FC W prediction · Feminine Division 1

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Paris FC W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Saint-Malo W 11%, draw 16%, Paris FC W 73%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Saint-Malo W v Paris FC WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Saint-Malo W win11%

Draw16%

Paris FC W win73%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 6

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Saint-Malo W

Paris FC W

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Feminine Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Paris FC W	5	+5	12
10	Saint-Malo W	5	−6	3

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · paris fc w winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Paris FC W a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Saint-Malo W v Paris FC W~~0.82 – 2.60

~~Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W1 D0 L4 · W4 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 3 v 12~~10 v 3

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Saint-Malo W win	11%	–	–
Draw	16%	–	–
Paris FC W win	73%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
Saint-Malo W or draw	27%	–	–
Saint-Malo W clean sheet	9%	–	–
Paris FC W clean sheet	45%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.6%

0123450 4.0 8.9 10.6 8.9 5.9 3.41 3.2 7.3 8.4 6.8 4.3 2.42 3.2 3.6 2.8 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Saint-Malo W down, Paris FC W across0–5 goals a side shown (93.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 697 Feminine Division 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Feminine Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 51.6% of games this season, across 31 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Saint-Malo W at home: 0.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Paris FC W away: 1.83 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.82 goals for Saint-Malo W, 2.60 for Paris FC W. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 Sept

SAINT-MALO W

LWLLL2–3 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 0–2

PARIS FC W

WLWWW2–0 · 1–7 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lyon W	5	+28	15
2	Paris Saint Germain W	6	+4	15
3	Paris FC W	5	+5	12
4	Marseille W	5	+2	9
5	Strasbourg W	5	−1	7
6	Le Havre W	5	−5	7
7	Montpellier W	6	+2	6
8	Nantes W	5	−1	5
9	FC Fleury 91 W	5	−6	5
10	Saint-Malo W	5	−6	3
11	Lens W	5	−8	1
12	Toulouse W	5	−14	1