Paris FC W v Paris Saint Germain W prediction · Feminine Division 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Paris FC WDrawParis Saint Germain W

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Paris Saint Germain W 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Paris Saint Germain W are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Paris FC W 35%, draw 26%, Paris Saint Germain W 40%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Paris FC W v Paris Saint Germain WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Paris FC W win35%

Draw26%

Paris Saint Germain W win40%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueStade Charlety

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Paris FC W

Paris Saint Germain W

14Days since last match8

Last match: 17 Oct · Feminine Division 1

Last match: 23 Oct · Feminine Division 1

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Paris Saint Germain W	6	+4	15
3	Paris FC W	5	+5	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · paris saint germain w winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make Paris Saint Germain W a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Paris FC W v Paris Saint Germain W~~1.32 – 1.43

~~Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D0 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 12 v 15~~3 v 2

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Paris FC W win	35%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Paris Saint Germain W win	40%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	30%	–	–
Paris FC W or draw	60%	–	–
Paris FC W clean sheet	25%	–	–
Paris Saint Germain W clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.9%

0123450 7.0 9.1 6.5 3.1 1 8.4 11.9 8.3 4.0 2 5.6 7.7 5.5 2.7 3 2.5 3.5 2.5 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Paris FC W down, Paris Saint Germain W across0–5 goals a side shown (99.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 700 Feminine Division 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Feminine Division 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 52.9% of games this season, across 34 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Paris FC W at home: 3.00 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Paris Saint Germain W away: 2.00 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Paris FC W, 1.43 for Paris Saint Germain W. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~Paris FC W 1–0 Paris Saint Germain W · Paris FC W 0–3 Paris Saint Germain W · Paris Saint Germain W 0–0 Paris FC W · Paris Saint Germain W 3–0 Paris FC W

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Feminine Division 1 this season · since 5 Sept

PARIS FC W

WLWWW2–0 · 1–7 · 2–0 · 4–1 · 4–0

PARIS SAINT GERMAIN W

WWWWLW2–0 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 0–4 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Lyon W	6	+33	18
2	Paris Saint Germain W	6	+4	15
3	Paris FC W	5	+5	12
4	Marseille W	6	−3	9
5	Nantes W	6	0	8
6	Le Havre W	6	−5	8
7	Strasbourg W	6	−2	7
8	Montpellier W	6	+2	6
9	FC Fleury 91 W	5	−6	5
10	Saint-Malo W	5	−6	3
11	Lens W	6	−8	2
12	Toulouse W	5	−14	1