Montpellier W v Le Havre W

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Montpellier W win at 53%.
2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Montpellier W 53% before kick-off, 53% now. 0–0 · 53–23–25
3. 1′KICK-OFF Montpellier W v Le Havre W
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 4' Montpellier W
5. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 9' Suya Haering · Montpellier W
6. 20′We said Montpellier W at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–16–9
7. 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' Montpellier W 1–0 Le Havre W
8. 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 76% now
9. 21′Montpellier W ahead on 20′ through Justine Rouquet. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–16–8
10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 76–16–8
11. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Solène Champagnac · Le Havre W
12. 45′HALF-TIME Montpellier W 1–0 Le Havre W
13. 46′SECOND HALF Montpellier W 1–0 Le Havre W
14. 53′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Montpellier W · On: Manon Revelli · Off: Suya Haering
15. 58′We said Montpellier W at 53% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
16. 61′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Montpellier W · On: Natalia oleszkiewicz · Off: Celia Chabod
17. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 68' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 83% now
18. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Le Havre W · On: Jade Nassi · Off: Naolia Traoré Corrected
19. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Le Havre W · On: Jade Nassi · Off: Naolia Traoré
20. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Le Havre W · On: Talila Seika · Off: Kédie Johnson Corrected
21. 70′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 27%. 1–1 · 27–56–16
22. 70′Montpellier W have had 7 attempts to 2 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 27–56–16
23. 70′PENALTY · 68' Le Havre W
24. 70′⚽ GOAL · 70' Montpellier W 1–1 Le Havre W
25. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 27% now
26. 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was Montpellier W win 27%)
27. 72′Solène Champagnac scores for Le Havre W on 69′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 26–59–15
28. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Montpellier W · On: Bouchra Kharafi · Off: adja soumahoro binate Corrected
29. 74′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–62–14
30. 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
31. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Montpellier W · On: Lola Gstalter · Off: Mariam Dramé
32. 78′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–69–12
33. 78′8 shots for Montpellier W, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 19–69–12
34. 82′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–9
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 73' Montpellier W · On: Laura Bourgouin · Off: Ella Palis
36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 79' Le Havre W · On: Ikram Adjabi · Off: Melina Mendy
37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
38. 86′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–85–6
39. 91′Montpellier W have had 13 attempts to 5 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 5–92–3
40. 92′We said Montpellier W at 53%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–3
41. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Montpellier W win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
42. FTFULL TIME Montpellier W 1–1 Le Havre W
43. FTMontpellier W 1–1 Le Havre W · Montpellier W win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.