SJK Akatemia v Kooteepee prediction · Ykkösliiga

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:56

SJK Akatemia 4–3 Kooteepee KOOTEEPEE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Kooteepee win~~64%

~~The market said~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.151

~~The market’s Brier score~~1.282

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay6 notes · 27 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Kooteepee win at 64%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Kooteepee 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 16–20–64
1′KICK-OFF SJK Akatemia v Kooteepee
3′Little has changed for our model: Kooteepee 64% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 16–21–64
6′⚽ GOAL · 6' SJK Akatemia 0–1 Kooteepee
10′⚽ GOAL · 9' SJK Akatemia 0–2 Kooteepee
22′Kooteepee ahead on 5′ through F. Manneh. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–12–84
22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 84% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 64% now
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 84% now
24′Kooteepee ahead on 5′ through F. Manneh. 0–1. 0–1 · 4–12–84
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 84% now
24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 64% now
40′We said Kooteepee at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 0–1 · 4–13–84
42′We said Kooteepee at 64% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 0–1 · 3–13–84
45′HALF-TIME SJK Akatemia 0–1 Kooteepee
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Kooteepee win: 64% at kick-off, 84% now
46′SECOND HALF SJK Akatemia 0–1 Kooteepee
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' SJK Akatemia 1–1 Kooteepee
48′SUBSTITUTION · 46' SJK Akatemia · On: A. Cisse · Off: M. Cisse
50′⚽ GOAL · 50' SJK Akatemia 1–2 Kooteepee
59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' SJK Akatemia · On: A. C. Achi · Off: O. Pihlaja
59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' SJK Akatemia · On: T. Mustonen · Off: P. Padera
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' SJK Akatemia 1–3 Kooteepee
66′⚽ GOAL · 66' SJK Akatemia 2–3 Kooteepee
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Kooteepee · On: M. Aatola · Off: F. Manneh
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' Kooteepee · On: O. Eloluoto · Off: A. Tulehmo
71′SUBSTITUTION · 70' SJK Akatemia · On: D. Bulgakov · Off: H. Silagailis
74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Kooteepee
81′⚽ GOAL · 81' SJK Akatemia 2–4 Kooteepee
85′⚽ GOAL · 84' SJK Akatemia 3–3 Kooteepee
90′SUBSTITUTION · 86' SJK Akatemia · On: O. Raiski · Off: Cauet Werner
90′⚽ GOAL · 92' SJK Akatemia 4–3 Kooteepee
FTFULL TIME SJK Akatemia 4–3 Kooteepee
FTSJK Akatemia 4–3 Kooteepee · Kooteepee win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 0–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

The model’s prediction on this page stays free.

Get the 30-day pass ›

Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

SJK Akatemia win16%

Draw20%

Kooteepee win64%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 14:00

VenueOmaSp Stadion

Line-ups

SJK Akatemia

Kooteepee

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

SJK Akatemia

Kooteepee

15Days since last match16

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kooteepee	25	+23	58
10	SJK Akatemia	25	−24	14

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

SJK Akatemia

Formation not confirmed

32 L. Huttunen

4 O. Pihlaja

6 N. Vuksanovic

8 A. Machaal

9 H. Silagailis

10 I. Berjali

14 Cauet Werner

17 M. Cisse

21 P. Padera

24 A. Sairinen

39 E. Nzoko

Coach · Paulo Lopes

Substitutes

25 · N. Hasselman

2 · T. Mustonen

3 · O. Raiski

19 · A. C. Achi

27 · J. Nikkila

28 · D. Bulgakov

42 · D. Mbumba

47 · A. Cisse

Kooteepee

Formation not confirmed

25 J. Leikas

4 C. Chibuzor

5 S. Holtta

7 J. Makela

8 M. Coker

10 P. Forsell

13 N. Tahmbi

17 F. Manneh

20 A. Tulehmo

26 M. Paavola

37 A. Tanaka

Coach · Juha Pasoja

Substitutes

33 · M. Zhuk

11 · R. Haapalainen

16 · M. Aatola

18 · O. Eloluoto

21 · O. Hanninen

29 · A. Ruohio

30 · L. Puhakainen

Our number · kooteepee winPublished 11 Oct 14:09

64% The market70%

Us64%

~~Market~~70%

We make Kooteepee a 64% chance to win. The market has them at 70%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 0.9–2.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · kooteepee win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has not moved either.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SJK Akatemia win	16%	13%	+3
Draw	20%	17%	+3
Kooteepee win	64%	70%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	58%	71%	−13
Both teams to score	52%	60%	−8
Over 1.5 goals	80%	86%	−6
Over 3.5 goals	36%	50%	−15
SJK Akatemia or draw	36%	30%	+6
SJK Akatemia clean sheet	13%	–	–
Kooteepee clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.6%

0123450 5.2 10.3 10.6 7.4 4.0 1 4.6 9.4 9.5 6.6 3.5 2 2.2 4.4 4.4 3.1 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SJK Akatemia down, Kooteepee across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 403 Ykkösliiga matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ykkösliiga matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.3% of games this season, across 129 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 3.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SJK Akatemia at home: 1.17 scored, 2.67 conceded a game (last 6). Kooteepee away: 2.00 scored, 0.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.92 goals for SJK Akatemia, 2.10 for Kooteepee. Most likely score 0–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~3 of 5

~~Last meetings~~KOO 2–1 SJK · KOO 1–0 SJK · KOO 3–3 SJK · SJK 0–3 KOO

Form · last six in Ykkösliiga

SJK AKATEMIA

LLLDLD0–2 · 2–6 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–3 · 1–1

KOOTEEPEE

WWWWWD1–0 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kooteepee	25	+23	58
2	PK-35	26	+20	49
3	Haka	26	+21	47
4	JIPPO	26	+15	44
5	JäPS	26	−17	35
6	MP	26	−8	30
7	EIF	26	−15	29
8	Klubi-04	26	0	26
9	KäPa	26	−15	25
10	SJK Akatemia	25	−24	14