Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Ykkösliiga › Kooteepee v Klubi-04

Back
Finland flag

Kooteepee v Klubi-04

Kooteepee
0–0Full time
Klubi-04

Ykkösliiga · SAT 17 OCT · Arto Tolsa Areena

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 17:28
Kooteepee 0–0 Klubi-04 KOOTEEPEE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Kooteepee win58%
The market said46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better1.017
The market’s Brier score0.879

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Kooteepee win at 58%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Kooteepee was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 58% now. 0–0 · 58–21–22
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Kooteepee v Klubi-04
  4. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 40' Kooteepee win: 58% at kick-off, 48% now
  5. 45′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 46%. 0–0 · 46–33–21
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Kooteepee 0–0 Klubi-04
  7. 46′SECOND HALF Kooteepee 0–0 Klubi-04
  8. 50′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 44–35–20
  9. 52′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 43–37–20
  10. 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 42–39–20
  11. 59′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–19
  12. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Kooteepee win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
  13. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Kooteepee win 38%)
  14. 66′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
  15. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kooteepee · On: M. Aatola · Off: A. Tanaka
  16. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Kooteepee · On: M. Paavola · Off: S. Holtta
  17. 72′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–56–15
  18. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Kooteepee win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
  19. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Klubi-04 · On: N. Kroupkin · Off: L. Palmula
  20. 75′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Klubi-04 · On: D. Olorunfem · Off: A. Berisha
  21. 76′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
  22. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Kooteepee · On: P. Ogunkoya · Off: M. Coker
  23. 80′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–71–10
  24. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Kooteepee win: 58% at kick-off, 17% now
  25. 83′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
  26. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Klubi-04 · On: E. Toivonen · Off: R. Hudd
  27. 85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Kooteepee
  28. 88′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–86–5
  29. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 89' Kooteepee win: 58% at kick-off, 8% now
  30. 93′We said Kooteepee at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 3%. 0–0 · 3–95–2
  31. FTFULL TIME Kooteepee 0–0 Klubi-04
  32. FTKooteepee 0–0 Klubi-04 · Kooteepee win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Kooteepee are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Kooteepee 58%, draw 20%, Klubi-04 22%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Kooteepee v Klubi-04Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Kooteepee win58%
Draw20%
Klubi-04 win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 14:00

RoundGroup stage

VenueArto Tolsa Areena

Line-ups

Kooteepee

Klubi-04

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Kooteepee

Klubi-04

6Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · Ykkösliiga

Last match: 9 Oct · Ykkösliiga

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kooteepee26+2258
8Klubi-0426026

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Kooteepee

Formation not confirmed

33 M. Zhuk

3 D. Agyei

4 C. Chibuzor

5 S. Holtta

7 J. Makela

8 M. Coker

10 P. Forsell

13 N. Tahmbi

17 F. Manneh

20 A. Tulehmo

37 A. Tanaka

Coach · Juha Pasoja

Substitutes

25 · J. Leikas

9 · P. Ogunkoya

11 · R. Haapalainen

16 · M. Aatola

21 · O. Hanninen

26 · M. Paavola

29 · A. Ruohio

Klubi-04

Formation not confirmed

89 M. Haapanen

46 I. Nyback

53 J. Kari

61 V. Konttas

62 L. Palmula

63 A. Le Goff-Conan

68 A. Nylund

72 A. Berisha

91 R. Hudd

92 M. Ameen

96 I. Toivonen

Coach · Perparim Hetemaj

Substitutes

79 · J. Tanska

45 · R. Barrett

48 · A. Haikala

49 · N. Siren

54 · A. Zaitra

56 · E. Toivonen

65 · D. Zaberxha

87 · N. Kroupkin

95 · D. Olorunfem

Our number · kooteepee winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:09 · locked at kick-off
58% The market46%
Us58%
Market46%

We make Kooteepee a 58% chance to win. The market has them at 46%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Kooteepee v Klubi-042.16 – 1.23
Form · last six in Ykkösliiga this season · since 28 AugW4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 58 v 261 v 8
The market · Kooteepee win46% · ours 58%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50%55%60%65% 11 OCT 04:0217 OCT 13:25
Our probability · Kooteepee win The market, margin stripped

Published at 59%, 58% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Kooteepee win58%46%+12
Draw20%24%−4
Klubi-04 win22%30%−8
Over 2.5 goals65%67%−2
Both teams to score62%67%−5
Over 1.5 goals85%84%+1
Over 3.5 goals44%46%−2
Kooteepee or draw78%70%+8
Kooteepee clean sheet30%––
Klubi-04 clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.3%
0123450 3.7 4.3 2.7 1 7.4 8.9 5.5 2.3 2 7.8 9.3 5.7 2.4 3 5.6 6.7 4.1 4 3.1 3.7 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Kooteepee down, Klubi-04 across0–5 goals a side shown (97.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.67
Over 2.51 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsKLU 0–1 KOO · KLU 0–1 KOO · KLU 2–1 KOO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ykkösliiga this season · since 28 Aug

KOOTEEPEE

WWWWDL2–1 · 2–0 · 3–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 3–4

KLUBI-04

WDLLWW6–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1 · 7–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kooteepee26+2258
2PK-3526+2049
3Haka26+2147
4JIPPO26+1544
5JäPS26−1735
6MP26−830
7EIF26−1529
8Klubi-0426026
9KäPa26−1525
10SJK Akatemia26−2317

The competition's standings before kick-off.