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Klubi-04 v EIF

Klubi-04

7–0Full time

EIF

Ykkösliiga · FRI 9 OCT · Bolt Arena

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Klubi-04 7–0 EIF KLUBI-04 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Klubi-04 win~~41%

~~The market said~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.529

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.483

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 15 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Klubi-04 win at 41%.
73′SUBSTITUTION · 46' EIF · On: F. Etu · Off: S. Bah
73′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Klubi-04 · On: R. Barrett · Off: I. Nyback
73′SUBSTITUTION · 56' Klubi-04 · On: D. Olorunfem · Off: L. Palmula
73′🟨 YELLOW · 61' A. Peltola · EIF
73′SUBSTITUTION · 65' EIF · On: D. Kocol · Off: O. Sallinen
73′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Klubi-04 · On: E. Toivonen · Off: R. Hudd
73′⚽ GOAL · 71' Klubi-04 6–0 EIF
73′SECOND HALF Klubi-04 6–0 EIF
73′🟥 RED CARD · 75' EIF
75′🟥 RED CARD · 75' D. Agbo · EIF
84′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Klubi-04 · On: R. Mihhalevski · Off: I. Toivonen
84′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Klubi-04 · On: N. Peltola · Off: J. Kari
90′⚽ GOAL · 91' Klubi-04 6–0 EIF
90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Klubi-04 7–0 EIF · R. Barrett
FTFULL TIME Klubi-04 7–0 EIF
FTKlubi-04 7–0 EIF · Klubi-04 win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Klubi-04 win41%

Draw24%

EIF win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Bolt Arena

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Klubi-04

Formation not confirmed

89 M. Haapanen

46 I. Nyback

53 J. Kari

61 V. Konttas

62 L. Palmula

63 A. Le Goff-Conan

68 A. Nylund

72 A. Berisha

91 R. Hudd

92 M. Ameen

96 I. Toivonen

Coach · Perparim Hetemaj

Substitutes

79 · J. Tanska

45 · R. Barrett

48 · A. Haikala

51 · N. Peltola

56 · E. Toivonen

65 · D. Zaberxha

73 · D. Kesonen

74 · R. Mihhalevski

95 · D. Olorunfem

EIF

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Mikkonen

3 D. Maes

5 R. Pakkanen

8 A. Peltola

10 Lucas Kaufmann

13 O. Sallinen

19 D. Agbo

23 S. Bah

29 F. Mohamed

30 O. Gunes

34 R. Kerrebijn

Coach · Mikko Lignell

Substitutes

1 · A. Anttalainen

17 · F. Etu

18 · A. Sivonen

21 · A. Sandbacka

24 · N. Pelkonen

25 · M. Hamdi

27 · D. Kocol

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Klubi-04

Formation not confirmed

89 M. Haapanen

46 I. Nyback

53 J. Kari

61 V. Konttas

62 L. Palmula

63 A. Le Goff-Conan

68 A. Nylund

72 A. Berisha

91 R. Hudd

92 M. Ameen

96 I. Toivonen

Coach · Perparim Hetemaj

Substitutes

79 · J. Tanska

45 · R. Barrett

48 · A. Haikala

51 · N. Peltola

56 · E. Toivonen

65 · D. Zaberxha

73 · D. Kesonen

74 · R. Mihhalevski

95 · D. Olorunfem

EIF

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Mikkonen

3 D. Maes

5 R. Pakkanen

8 A. Peltola

10 Lucas Kaufmann

13 O. Sallinen

19 D. Agbo

23 S. Bah

29 F. Mohamed

30 O. Gunes

34 R. Kerrebijn

Coach · Mikko Lignell

Substitutes

1 · A. Anttalainen

17 · F. Etu

18 · A. Sivonen

21 · A. Sandbacka

24 · N. Pelkonen

25 · M. Hamdi

27 · D. Kocol

Our number · klubi-04 winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

41% The market44%

Us41%

~~Market~~44%

We make Klubi-04 a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 44%. We are 3 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · klubi-04 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 55% to 44% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Klubi-04 win	41%	44%	−3
Draw	24%	24%	+1
EIF win	35%	33%	+2
Over 2.5 goals	56%	71%	−15
Both teams to score	59%	71%	−12
Over 1.5 goals	79%	87%	−8
Over 3.5 goals	34%	50%	−16
Klubi-04 or draw	65%	67%	−2
Klubi-04 clean sheet	25%	–	–
EIF clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.5 7.4 5.2 2.5 1 8.1 11.2 7.8 3.7 2 6.2 8.5 6.0 2.8 3 3.3 4.5 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Klubi-04 down, EIF across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 399 Ykkösliiga matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ykkösliiga matches have gone over 2.5 in 46.4% of games this season, across 125 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 3.80 goals a meeting; 4 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Klubi-04 at home: 1.67 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). EIF away: 0.67 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.55 goals for Klubi-04, 1.41 for EIF. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.80

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 5

~~Both scored~~4 of 5

~~Last meetings~~EIF 2–0 KLU · EIF 2–1 KLU · EIF 2–1 KLU · KLU 2–2 EIF

Form · last six in Ykkösliiga

KLUBI-04

WWDLLW4–3 · 6–2 · 2–2 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 2–1

EIF

LLDDLD0–1 · 0–2 · 0–0 · 2–2 · 0–1 · 1–1

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Kooteepee	25	+23	58
2	PK-35	25	+23	49
3	Haka	25	+18	44
4	JIPPO	25	+11	41
5	JäPS	25	−13	35
6	EIF	25	−8	29
7	MP	25	−8	29
8	KäPa	25	−15	24
9	Klubi-04	25	−7	23
10	SJK Akatemia	25	−24	14