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Haka v PK-35

Haka
3–0Full time
PK-35

Ykkösliiga · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31
Haka 3–0 PK-35 PK-35 WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said PK-35 win37%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.612
The market’s Brier score0.447

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 17 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said PK-35 win at 37%.
  2. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Haka · On: K. Nurmi · Off: E. Mattila
  3. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 50' J. Pikkuhookana · PK-35
  4. 69′SECOND HALF Haka 0–0 PK-35
  5. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Haka · On: T. Lehtinen · Off: M. Cisse
  6. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 76' Haka · On: V. Purosalo · Off: A. Maenpaa
  7. 80′⚽ GOAL · 77' Haka 1–0 PK-35 · V. Purosalo (assist K. Nurmi)
  8. 82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Haka 2–0 PK-35 · V. Purosalo
  9. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' PK-35 · On: J. Tapani · Off: J. Nakanishi
  10. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' PK-35 · On: I. Sadik · Off: M. Tolonen Corrected
  11. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' J. Tapani · PK-35
  12. 82′⚽ GOAL · 83' Haka 2–0 PK-35
  13. 87′⚽ GOAL · 87' Haka 3–0 PK-35 · E. Auvinen
  14. 87′⚽ GOAL · 88' Haka 3–0 PK-35
  15. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' PK-35 · On: O. Salmensuu · Off: E. Pitkala
  16. 88′SUBSTITUTION · 88' PK-35 · On: J. Costa · Off: P. Diniz
  17. 90′SUBSTITUTION · 89' Haka · On: T. Ali Abubakar · Off: A. Maenpaa Corrected
  18. FTFULL TIME Haka 3–0 PK-35
  19. FTHaka 3–0 PK-35 · PK-35 win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Haka win36%
Draw27%
PK-35 win37%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Haka

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Lepola

3 N. Friberg

4 E. Auvinen

7 T. Lahdensuo

8 J. Karlsson

10 A. Maenpaa

13 M. Mahlamaki

18 E. Mattila

20 M. Cisse

25 D. Enqvist

77 O. Whyte

Coach · Tommi Ekmark

Substitutes

1 · J. Ziprus

9 · T. Ali Abubakar

15 · M. Syrjalainen

21 · K. Nurmi

23 · T. Lehtinen

24 · N. Sichinava

30 · V. Purosalo

PK-35

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Ramula

2 R. Sipi

3 A. Forsstrom

6 J. Nakanishi

7 P. Diniz

14 E. Kawakita

18 E. Pitkala

21 K. Rasanen

27 A. Ahmed-Nur

34 T. Andberg

88 J. Pikkuhookana

Coach · Tiago Santos

Substitutes

25 · A. Kivela

4 · A. Abdi

8 · J. Costa

9 · I. Sadik

10 · O. Salmensuu

15 · J. Tapani

19 · M. Tolonen

22 · L. Lokake

24 · N. Ndaziramiye

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Haka

Formation not confirmed

12 A. Lepola

3 N. Friberg

4 E. Auvinen

7 T. Lahdensuo

8 J. Karlsson

10 A. Maenpaa

13 M. Mahlamaki

18 E. Mattila

20 M. Cisse

25 D. Enqvist

77 O. Whyte

Coach · Tommi Ekmark

Substitutes

1 · J. Ziprus

9 · T. Ali Abubakar

15 · M. Syrjalainen

21 · K. Nurmi

23 · T. Lehtinen

24 · N. Sichinava

30 · V. Purosalo

PK-35

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Ramula

2 R. Sipi

3 A. Forsstrom

6 J. Nakanishi

7 P. Diniz

14 E. Kawakita

18 E. Pitkala

21 K. Rasanen

27 A. Ahmed-Nur

34 T. Andberg

88 J. Pikkuhookana

Coach · Tiago Santos

Substitutes

25 · A. Kivela

4 · A. Abdi

8 · J. Costa

9 · I. Sadik

10 · O. Salmensuu

15 · J. Tapani

19 · M. Tolonen

22 · L. Lokake

24 · N. Ndaziramiye

Our number · pk-35 winPublished 9 Oct 17:06
37% The market28%
Us37%
Market28%

We make PK-35 a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 8 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.3.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40% 9 OCT 06:189 OCT 14:07
Our probability · pk-35 win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 29% to 28% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Haka win36%45%−9
Draw27%26%+1
PK-35 win37%28%+8
Over 2.5 goals47%55%−8
Both teams to score51%58%−7
Over 1.5 goals72%77%−6
Over 3.5 goals25%35%−9
Haka or draw63%72%−8
Haka clean sheet28%––
PK-35 clean sheet29%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.2 10.1 6.4 2.8 1 10.0 12.5 7.9 3.4 2 6.3 7.8 5.0 2.1 3 2.7 3.4 2.1 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Haka down, PK-35 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2026
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.51 of 2
Both scored1 of 2
Last meetingsPK 1–4 HAK · PK 0–0 HAK

Form · last six in Ykkösliiga

HAKA

WLLDWL2–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 2–3

PK-35

WWDWLD3–0 · 3–0 · 0–0 · 4–1 · 0–3 · 0–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Kooteepee25+2358
2PK-3525+2349
3Haka25+1844
4JIPPO25+1141
5JäPS25−1335
6EIF25−829
7MP25−829
8KäPa25−1524
9Klubi-0425−723
10SJK Akatemia25−2414

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.