EIF v KäPa

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said EIF win at 46%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: EIF was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 46% now. 0–0 · 46–22–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF EIF v KäPa
4. 22′🟨 YELLOW · 22' KäPa
5. 23′We published EIF at 46%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–18–13
6. 23′A goal for EIF on 23′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 69–18–13
7. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' EIF 1–0 KäPa
8. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 69% now
9. 27′We published EIF at 46%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–18–12
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 70–19–12
11. 31′A goal for KäPa on 31′. 1–0 · 70–19–11
12. 32′⚽ GOAL · 31' EIF 1–1 KäPa
13. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 41% now
14. 45′HALF-TIME EIF 1–1 KäPa
15. 45′SECOND HALF EIF 1–1 KäPa
16. 48′⚽ GOAL · 48' EIF 2–1 KäPa
17. 48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 72% now
18. 50′A goal for KäPa on 49′. 2–1 · 73–20–8
19. 50′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 36–36–27
20. 50′⚽ GOAL · 49' EIF 2–2 KäPa
21. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 36% now
22. 51′Much as we predicted: EIF was 46% before kick-off and our model makes it 36% now. 2–2 · 36–37–27
23. 56′We said EIF at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 34–40–26
24. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 40% (was EIF win 34%)
25. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' KäPa
26. 66′We said EIF at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 29–49–22
27. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' KäPa · On: S. Sillah · Off: E. Lappalainen
28. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 68' KäPa · On: E. Ahola · Off: V. Jokiranta
29. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
30. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 70' KäPa
31. 72′We said EIF at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 24–56–19
32. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' KäPa · On: D. Rokman · Off: N. Leinonen
33. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 74' EIF · On: N. Mohammed · Off: F. Etu
34. 78′We said EIF at 46%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–66–15
35. 79′EIF score on 78′ to make it 3–2. 3–2 · 86–13–1
36. 79′We published EIF at 46%. Our model now makes it 86%. 3–2 · 86–13–1
37. 79′⚽ GOAL · 78' EIF 3–2 KäPa
38. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 86% now
39. 79′THE CALL SWINGS · 79' EIF win is now our likeliest result at 86% (was Draw 13%)
40. 80′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 3–2 · 87–12–1
41. 83′We published EIF at 46%. Our model now makes it 90%. 3–2 · 90–9–1
42. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 84' EIF · On: D. Kocol · Off: Lucas Kaufmann
43. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' KäPa · On: J. Salmi · Off: S. Puputti
44. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 85' KäPa · On: K. Isaksson · Off: D. Ripatti
45. 88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' EIF
46. 89′We published EIF at 46%. Our model now makes it 95%. 3–2 · 95–5–0
47. 90′Full time, 3–2. We called EIF at 46% — that one lands. 3–2 · 100–0–0
48. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' EIF win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
49. FTFULL TIME EIF 3–2 KäPa
50. FTEIF 3–2 KäPa · EIF win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.