VJS v TPV

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said VJS win at 56%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: VJS was 56% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 56–22–22
3. 1′KICK-OFF VJS v TPV
4. 19′VJS find the net on 18′. 0–0 · 52–26–22
5. 19′We published VJS at 56%. Our model now makes it 78%. 1–0 · 78–15–8
6. 19′⚽ GOAL · 18' VJS 1–0 TPV
7. 19′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 19' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 78% now
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 1–0 · 78–15–7
9. 45′HALF-TIME VJS 1–0 TPV
10. 46′SECOND HALF VJS 1–0 TPV
11. 50′We published VJS at 56%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
12. 52′A goal for TPV on 52′. 1–0 · 80–16–4
13. 53′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–39–20
14. 53′⚽ GOAL · 52' VJS 1–1 TPV
15. 53′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 53' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 41% now
16. 56′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–42–19
17. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was VJS win 38%)
18. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 36% now
19. 64′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–18
20. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' TPV
21. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 60' VJS · On: J. Rahja · Off: J. Holopainen
22. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 60' VJS · On: E. Uzun · Off: M. O. Myllylahti
23. 70′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
24. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 69' TPV · On: A. Dos Santos · Off: R. Kostiainen
25. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 69' TPV · On: O. Kykyri · Off: T. Ylinen
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 26% now
27. 75′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–63–13
28. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 71' VJS · On: A. Nyholm · Off: A. Achenchab
29. 76′SUBSTITUTION · 72' VJS · On: A. Babiker · Off: O. Ojala
30. 79′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–71–11
31. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 16% now
32. 83′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 1–1 · 13–80–7
33. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 76' TPV · On: N. Tatu · Off: K. Koskenniemi Corrected
34. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 80' TPV · On: E. Ek · Off: L. Jadama
35. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 81' VJS · On: O. Blommendahl · Off: J. Merinen
36. 87′We said VJS at 56%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
37. 88′VJS find the net on 87′. 1–1 · 8–87–5
38. 89′We published VJS at 56%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–1 · 96–4–0
39. 89′⚽ GOAL · 87' VJS 2–1 TPV
40. 89′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 89' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
41. 89′THE CALL SWINGS · 89' VJS win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
42. 90′Full time, 2–1. We called VJS at 56% — that one lands. 2–1 · 100–0–0
43. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' VJS win: 56% at kick-off, 96% now
44. FTFULL TIME VJS 2–1 TPV
45. FTVJS 2–1 TPV · VJS win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.